# Andrew Erickson: Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted. **Claimed:** Mar 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-nfl-first-round-mock-draft-3-0-every-first-round-pick-after-the-combine-ep-1973 14 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 73.2 out of 100, against 46.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick, if not the second overall pick” (picks 1–5)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kayden McDonald, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 4.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 19.28 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st guard off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Olaivavega Ioane - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Kayden McDonald — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kayden-mcdonald - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys ## What others said about the same people - Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/735e7874-81a3-4bde-8c8f-d718cadf6e33 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Philadelphia Eagles: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100) - Jeff Kerr on Philadelphia Eagles: Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/90fdbe23-0880-4177-a75c-2784aeecf209 (scored 100) - Cory Nidoh on Philadelphia Eagles: Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/17f67cbb-f466-4d2f-b138-69e366c94a58 (scored 100) - Kevin Wildes on New York Jets: Wildes made the Jets beating the Packers his upset alert pick, arguing Green Bay's road losing streak and Jordan Love's recent interceptions will catch up with them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c804159d-ac3e-4af6-aab2-d709eed07b30 (scored 0) - Jeremy Pargo on Philadelphia Eagles: Picks the Eagles, citing Vic Fangio's defensive dominance over Brian Daboll's offenses. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47b31254-9e83-4628-a306-54c1c15cdc5d (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Makai Lemon: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 95.76) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-erickson