# Aaron Schatz: Schatz gives FTN's top five projected teams for 2025 (Ravens, Lions, Bills, Chiefs, Commanders), picks Bills over... a Bills-Lions Super Bowl matchup, names Bijan Robinson the top fantasy running back, and tabs Packers rookie Matthew Golden as a sleeper who breaks out.

**Claimed:** Aug 12, 2025
**Pundit:** Aaron Schatz — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/aaron-schatz
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-tuesday-hour-1-confidence-in-rams-stafford-shedeur-depth-chart-rank-aaron-schatz-joins

5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 depth chart call, 1 positional finishe and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 47.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm going with the Bills and the Lions as my Super Bowl.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **And these are my top five projected teams for twenty twenty five. Ravens, Lions, Bills, Chiefs and Commanders.**
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess
- **Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Matthew Golden — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matthew-golden
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson

## What others said about the same people

- Greg Jennings on Green Bay Packers: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Green Bay Packers: Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d758df3d-dbf8-44e5-b96c-77485489cf0c (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/29185ff4-dec4-498f-aa45-4ca2d72dcbe3 (scored 90.48)
- Mark Morales-Smith on Green Bay Packers: In a Week 2 start/sit column, Morales-Smith names four benched players he expects to outperform expectations: Jordan Love, Kaelon Black, Jakobi Meyers and Dalton Schultz. He also predicts Green Bay beats the Jets, San Francisco blows out Miami, and that Nico Collins won't play against Cincinnati. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3d31318-f325-4e14-aae7-ced9f9f3cfdf (scored 100)
- Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a2c5da4-3fba-43d7-82eb-dc25b81f245e (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Green Bay Packers: In a piece ranking five 0-1 teams by how badly they need a Week 2 win, the only concrete on-field call is that Green Bay should go into MetLife Stadium and beat the Jets in Week 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e2e2de2-bc30-4cd0-9a3f-f2c596524dc3 (scored 100)

## More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Brockman on Seattle Seahawks: Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7755a3be-efa7-417e-aefe-47d37d5fb067 (scored 100)
- Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50)
- Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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