# Andrew Erickson: Erickson ranked Trevor Lawrence QB6 and Caleb Williams QB10 as a back-end QB1, was out on Dallas Goedert (TE16), high on Hunter Henry (TE7) as a touchdown-scorer, started Taysom Hill (TE11), and predicted Trey McBride would post about 35 fantasy points. **Claimed:** Dec 26, 2025 **Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/week-17-fantasy-football-quarterback-tight-end-rankings-tiers-studs-sleepers-and-must-starts-ep-1918 3 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 3 have settled, averaging 72.2 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > He's gonna put up thirty five points against the Vegles, especially coming off for a dud performance. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Trevor Lawrence to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Trevor Lawrence - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Caleb Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Caleb Williams - Verdict: scored 58.33 out of 100, against 8.33 for a naive guess - **Hunter Henry to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Hunter Henry - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 8.33 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence - Caleb Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-williams - Hunter Henry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry ## What others said about the same people - Ethan Hurwitz on Hunter Henry: Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a6794a5b-800b-4a37-8d2c-40bd94238106 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - Chris Raybon on Trevor Lawrence: Raybon's biggest offseason move is Liam Coen to Jacksonville, and he expects nearly every Jaguars fantasy piece to beat their draft cost — Trevor Lawrence as a QB12-type, rookie Bhayshul Tuten as the team's eventual lead back, Brian Thomas Jr. with WR1-overall upside and Brenton Strange as value. He also expects mild regression for Baker Mayfield without Coen (still a top-six fantasy QB), likes Omarion Hampton, Treveon Henderson, Stefon Diggs, Rhamondre Stevenson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed and Jordan Love, and thinks Najee Harris slips to RB3 territory. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8ce155d5-152d-4837-a3d4-de50bd0df442 (scored 100) - Terrell Furman Jr on Hunter Henry: Furman predicts a breakout for Broncos WR Marvin Mims Jr. in Sean Payton's offense, says Bills signee Joshua Palmer will badly outperform his WR69 price, and calls Patriots TE Hunter Henry a reliable top-12/13 fantasy tight end who is going far too cheaply at TE19. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e83f8667-94eb-4f24-bba4-88ba1216e5a3 (scored 100) - Scott Bogman on Caleb Williams: Bogman likes Ricky Pearsall over the other 49ers receivers, picks Keon Coleman as his wide receiver breakout, backs Quinshawn Judkins to carry Cleveland's workload (ranking him RB27), and touts Caleb Williams' upside as a late-round quarterback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc8740ad-5cd2-4cf0-9329-e576f6df3a81 (scored 100) - Mike Harmon on Trevor Lawrence: Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e2e20c82-d482-48e6-90f3-929d0862fc0d (scored 100) ## More positional finishes The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100) - Ryan Tracy on Bryan Cook: Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bb787c-4f93-4c95-b8c2-02daeeffe823 (scored 0) - Pat Gustavson on Bijan Robinson: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 75) - JP Acosta on Bijan Robinson: JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/660e3494-2b0b-415e-beb7-9e3bf3464e30 (scored 75) - Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-erickson