# Sam Kienzle: Iowa Sam took the Chiefs to win while liking Houston with the points, laid the points with the Lions, had the Eagles winning but the Rams covering, and picked the Bills to beat the Ravens.

**Claimed:** Jan 18, 2025
**Pundit:** Sam Kienzle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/sam-kienzle
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/covinoandrich/hour-1-ohtani-donation-debate

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I will take the Chiefs to win with the Texans plus the points

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Detroit Lions to beat Commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Philadelphia Eagles: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Philadelphia Eagles: Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/90fdbe23-0880-4177-a75c-2784aeecf209 (scored 100)
- Cory Nidoh on Philadelphia Eagles: Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/17f67cbb-f466-4d2f-b138-69e366c94a58 (scored 100)
- Joshua Schulman on Kansas City Chiefs: Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/688ed965-da9e-4ced-9e80-10e7c54d5f43 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2cdeee40-89bf-46f1-b5a1-1a2511dc01cd (scored 100)
- Greg Jennings on Kansas City Chiefs: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/735e7874-81a3-4bde-8c8f-d718cadf6e33 (scored 100)
- Seth Walder on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/61d68b2a-468b-44a5-b949-a6b152bbafc0 (scored 100)
- Eric Moody on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8781a68b-56d0-4cd0-bf58-b7791e174082 (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/738530b5-6f35-4dc3-95f4-716358983f8a (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Carolina Panthers: Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0290838b-8539-4133-bb24-a8c3a617bbd3 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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