# Chris Raybon: Raybon's biggest offseason move is Liam Coen to Jacksonville, and he expects nearly every Jaguars fantasy piece to beat their draft cost — Trevor Lawrence as a QB12-type, rookie Bhayshul Tuten as the team's eventual lead back, Brian Thomas Jr. with WR1-overall upside and Brenton Strange as value. He also expects mild regression for Baker Mayfield without Coen (still a top-six fantasy QB), likes Omarion Hampton, Treveon Henderson, Stefon Diggs, Rhamondre Stevenson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed and Jordan Love, and thinks Najee Harris slips to RB3 territory. **Claimed:** Jul 23, 2025 **Pundit:** Chris Raybon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-raybon **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-favorites-sports-betting-podcast/top-10-nfl-fantasy-moves-1 12 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 12 have settled, averaging 53.5 out of 100, against 59 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Brian Thomas Junior has upside to be the number one wide receiver in the entire NFL this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (going as the running back forty four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (going around the quarterback twenty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brenton Strange to outplay his draft cost (Their tight end is going twentieth)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brenton Strange, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top forty, right outside the top forty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jayden Reed to outplay his draft cost (he's also going outside the top forty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (he's going outside the top forty in most fantasy drafts)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Stefon Diggs, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brian Thomas Jr. to outplay his draft cost (is going wide receiver eight)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Trevor Lawrence to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baker Mayfield to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence - Brenton Strange — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brenton-strange - Matthew Golden — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matthew-golden - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jayden Reed — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jayden-reed - Stefon Diggs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/stefon-diggs - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr - Rhamondre Stevenson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson - Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers ## What others said about the same people - Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Garrett Podell on Stefon Diggs: A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc79861b-dbde-474e-9d55-bf50f7b766d2 (scored 100) - Bucky Brooks on Stefon Diggs: In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9538b827-fc12-4c2e-8e32-eaa69edc6c2d (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) - Shannon Sharpe on Stefon Diggs: Sharpe ("Unc"/"Donk") said the veteran receiver they were discussing would be signed by a team, though he named no destination. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/547c2b7d-e77e-4982-9c11-5e64da38bfe0 (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Derek Brown on Jalen Coker: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=chris-raybon