# Joe Thomas: Thomas picked Josh Allen MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Myles Garrett DPOY, Dameon Pierce OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Derrick Henry Comeback Player and Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022
**Pundit:** Joe Thomas — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-thomas
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> [Hutchinson] might start a little bit slow ... but by mid-season he's going to showing exactly why I had him as the No. 1 overall player in this last NFL draft.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Nick Sirianni to win Coach of the Year**
  - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Dameon Pierce to win Offensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Myles Garrett, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Aidan Hutchinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aidan-hutchinson
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Derrick Henry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derrick-henry
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Dameon Pierce — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dameon-pierce
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Myles Garrett — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/myles-garrett
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns

## What others said about the same people

- Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Deshaun Watson: An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wilson on Deshaun Watson: A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff870e69-9992-4166-aa81-9b49d6f77f55 (scored 100)
- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80cb396b-8dbf-4e39-bd65-6d25df403db1 (scored 100)
- John Breech on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e520b2b-bf4e-4a82-9743-7cb7bc3ee125 (scored 100)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on Tristan Wirfs: Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/88928365-78fb-4f7b-84a4-0dd7856ba9cc (scored 0)
- Jourdan Rodrigue on Josh Simmons: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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