# Andrew Erickson: Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere.

**Claimed:** Feb 21, 2026
**Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-running-back-rankings-and-tiers-ep-1967

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 68.8 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> He's gonna be a fantasy RB one on a team not named the New York Jets.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Breece Hall to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Breece Hall
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 87.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Breece Hall to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Breece Hall
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Joe Mixon to move to Houston Texans**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Joe Mixon, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/breece-hall
- Joe Mixon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/joe-mixon
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans

## What others said about the same people

- Jared Koch on Nico Collins: Koch projects the Texans' wide receiver depth chart after Jayden Higgins' season-ending injury, naming Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel as starters, listing backups and roster locks, and predicting Collins tops his 2025 receiving marks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74bc29c1-a3ec-4b20-bd4a-2766759c439b (scored 100)
- Jared Koch on Brevin Jordan: Koch expects Brevin Jordan to be the odd man out among Houston's five tight ends and be inactive for the Week 1 game against the Bills, largely due to a leg injury. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e72db74e-4086-48d6-bb8f-1db483450348 (scored 100)
- Jared Koch on Lewis Bond: Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/14048ef2-7210-46fd-825a-b9849c144a9f (scored 100)
- Jared Koch on Jared Wayne: Koch highlights five Texans preseason standouts, suggesting Jared Wayne could claim the final receiver roster spot, Aiden Fisher could sneak onto the 53-man roster, Jaylen Reed has locked in a Week 1 roster spot, Marlin Klein will climb the tight end depth chart, and Wade Woodaz has a solid chance at the LB3 role. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80908eb0-4378-4d88-8dfa-936ca4556c28 (scored 100)
- Jared Koch on Jared Wayne: Koch argues that with Jayden Higgins lost for the season, third-year receiver Jared Wayne's rising stock makes him likely to make the Texans' 53-man roster rather than the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b71ff635-378d-4adf-ae7e-4443d1019207 (scored 100)
- Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/20e6ff7b-1de6-4de6-9567-3997edaea6b8 (scored 100)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bryan DeArdo on Darius Slayton: A CBS Sports piece on the Giants releasing Darius Slayton predicts he will be signed by another NFL team fairly quickly, and lists possible landing spots without committing to one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3f1834cd-6520-4f07-9efc-4060a6b5cb1c (scored 100)
- Noah Strackbein on Darius Slayton: Strackbein says Pittsburgh views Roman Wilson as its No. 3 receiver behind DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr., but argues the Steelers should add released Giants veteran Darius Slayton as insurance, expecting Slayton to sign cheaply on a veteran-minimum deal, and refers to 2026 as Aaron Rodgers' final season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c6348972-c1bf-48f1-ba03-d5c2ef44561a (scored 100)
- Patricia Traina on Darius Slayton: Traina writes that the Giants may make more trades before the roster cutdown and names the players she sees as the most likely candidates to be dealt: kicker Ben Sauls, one of receivers Darius Slayton or Darnell Mooney, offensive lineman Jake Kubas, and linebacker Darius Muasau. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/970d968f-3133-436c-a8a6-114412a9f178 (scored 100)
- Devon Platana on Johnny Hekker: With punter Brett Thorson dealing with a hamstring injury, Platana suggests the Vikings have a decent chance of bringing back veteran free-agent punter Johnny Hekker as a familiar fill-in. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/eafcb668-aa60-42b1-8d77-ebdd33d0c2af (scored 100)
- Greg Auman on Will Levis: Auman predicts that Will Levis, released by Tennessee, will almost certainly be claimed on waivers by another team. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/55b7732a-4131-430b-adbf-a33c60c47dc0 (scored 100)
- John Maakaron on Joe Bachie: Maakaron suggests several Lions players could be cut and land on other rosters: linebacker Joe Bachie, defensive linemen Ben Stille and Chris Smith, and running back Sione Vaki. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6cc7cac4-1a70-4e0a-a762-8c280319c3af (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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