# Mike Fanelli: Fanelli names six players as overpriced busts to avoid at their NFFC redraft ADPs: Caleb Williams, Trevor Lawrence, TreVeyon Henderson, Keaton Mitchell, Justin Jefferson and Dalton Kincaid. He also expects Omarion Hampton to be the Chargers' featured back. **Claimed:** Aug 15, 2026 **Pundit:** Mike Fanelli — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-fanelli **Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fantasypros **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/6-overvalued-fantasy-football-draft-picks-to-avoid-nffc-2026-picks/ 7 checkable claims — 6 fantasy bust calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > Let's look at six players who are overpriced draft picks based on NFFC ADP for redraft leagues. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Keaton Mitchell to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 135.16 | RB43)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Keaton Mitchell, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Trevor Lawrence to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 89.11 | QB8)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Trevor Lawrence - Verdict: not settled yet - **Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 83.09 | QB5)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet - **TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 55.28 | RB21)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 11.94 | WR6)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 118.51 | TE10)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Dalton Kincaid, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Omarion Hampton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/omarion-hampton - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Keaton Mitchell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keaton-mitchell - Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence - Caleb Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-williams - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Dalton Kincaid — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dalton-kincaid - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills ## What others said about the same people - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bf77c0-c921-4593-997e-8405355274e9 (scored 100) - Mike Moraitis on Ozzy Trapilo: Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdfe5f0f-6783-4730-b9bb-d942e28b037a (scored 0) - Pete Martuneac on Ozzy Trapilo: After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing his patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d42f10ad-a71c-4ea9-95e8-2b53fde77971 (scored 0) - Matt Okada on Kyler Murray: In a PPR-framed fantasy draft guide, Okada makes a few non-fantasy claims: rookie Jeremiyah Love will be Arizona's featured back despite being listed as RB2, Tua Tagovailoa will be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, and Kyler Murray will open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8ada4169-6627-4730-a98d-6869382735d2 (scored 100) ## More fantasy bust calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Mike Harmon on Joe Burrow: Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e2e20c82-d482-48e6-90f3-929d0862fc0d (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ashton Jeanty: Warmley predicted Kyle Pitts and Trey McBride both finish as top-five tight ends in the Cardinals-Falcons game, Justin Jefferson bounces back into the top 15 receivers, Quinshen Judkins finishes top 12 against Buffalo, the Ravens beat the Patriots, and the Raiders produce no startable fantasy players against Houston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7c3c1a97-4a04-4870-8118-181815ff8c47 (scored 0) - Patrick Claybon on Aaron Rodgers: Claibon says Aaron Rodgers' deep-passing outburst was a one-week product of Baltimore's defense and won't continue, still endorses starting Jacoby Brissett in a tough Houston matchup, and picks Devon Achane as the top running back and AJ Brown as the top receiver for Week 15. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/13d54729-d582-4201-9440-31f8510c7305 (scored 100) - Marcas Grant on Michael Pittman: Grant calls Christian Watson the Packers' clear No. 1 receiver and RJ Harvey Denver's lead back, while labeling Mike Gesicki's and Tony Pollard's big weeks mirages to avoid; he also wants no part of Colts pass catchers with Philip Rivers signing. For Week 15 he picks Matthew Stafford as the top quarterback and Puka Nacua among the top receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d990340b-36f2-4842-81d8-d08a5f3db65a (scored 0) - Andrew Erickson on Cooper Kupp: Erickson reiterated his prediction that Jordan Mason will lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns, backed the Broncos to blow out the Titans in Week 1, called Garrett Wilson a sell and Jacoby Myers a buy-low, expects little from Cooper Kupp, and made several depth-chart calls (Thornton starting in New England, Myers as Vegas' No. 1 receiver, Croskey-Merritt eventually taking the Commanders' 'A back' role). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3809e587-6fa2-464b-ab98-fd96d353c1bd (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-fanelli