# Derek Brown: Brown is all-in on Christian Watson as an undervalued target, ranking him far above consensus and calling him Green Bay's clear No. 1 receiver in 2026. He also loves Parker Washington well ahead of his consensus cost, viewing him as Jacksonville's true top receiver, and argues Alec Pierce is the undisputed No. 1 in his passing attack.

**Claimed:** May 16, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/4-fantasy-football-draft-values-experts-love-to-target-players-who-will-outperform-their-rankings-ep-2024

6 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls and 3 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> I'm all one in Christian Watson yet again this year... he's gonna be their wide receiver one this year.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (He's wide receiver forty one. In ECR... ECR has him in ninety fifth)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Alec Pierce
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DJ Moore
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (right now in ECR he's fifty sixth overall, he's wide receiver twenty seven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Parker Washington — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/parker-washington
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-watson
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Alec Pierce — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/alec-pierce
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dj-moore

## What others said about the same people

- John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Daniel Faalele: Dubin grades the Faalele trade, predicting Faalele has a decent chance to be Jacksonville's Week 1 starting right guard in competition with Wyatt Milum, and that Evan Neal's odds of making the Giants' 53-man roster improved while Jon Runyan and Francis Mauigoa hold the Giants' starting guard jobs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aae46267-fc6d-44c1-a96c-7355b3db857b (scored 0)
- John Shipley on Patrick Mekari: Shipley projects second-year cornerback Jabbar Muhammad to make the Jaguars' 53-man roster and describes him as the team's clear No. 5 cornerback, a role that would earn him a game-day jersey. He also identifies Patrick Mekari, Walker Little and Ezra Cleveland as projected Week 1 offensive line starters. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dd093e7d-3a57-4ecb-ae09-af7eadfb15b0 (scored 0)
- Jacob Westendorf on Green Bay Packers: Westendorf picks the Packers to win the opener 27-21, with Tucker Kraft leading the team in catches, Christian Watson in yards, Jayden Reed in touchdowns and Josh Jacobs in rushing. He tabs Bo Nix as MVP, the Broncos as the AFC's top team and Super Bowl winner over the Rams, the Lions to win the NFC North, and the Packers to finish 8-9. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74732492-951c-4bdd-9047-b9c9b08265d6 (scored 23.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Jacksonville Jaguars: Sullivan takes the Jaguars to beat the Browns, doubting Deshaun Watson, and takes the Eagles over the Commanders at home. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac678dcb-56cb-48c5-912c-3e8c8522e681 (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on Green Bay Packers: AJ Hawk picked the Ravens over the Colts, Carolina to beat Chicago outright, the Bills at Houston, the Bengals over Tampa Bay, the Titans over the Jets, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f9146c-d27f-4851-b8a4-4103d043308f (scored 0)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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