# David Harrison: In a mock draft for the Washington Commanders, Harrison trades pick No. 7 to the Jets for picks 16 and 33 and then projects seven specific selections: Peter Woods at 16, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren at 33, Keelan Rutledge in the third, Max Llewellyn in the fifth, Tanner Koziol at 186, Robert Spears-Jennings at 197 and James Thompson Jr. at 223.

**Claimed:** Feb 16, 2026
**Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/david-harrison
**Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/5dff35bf-3d4e-45de-a4fd-3354cd26bd39/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=5dff35bf-3d4e-45de-a4fd-3354cd26bd39&feed=psq7p3Ar

7 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 26.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> And at number 16, we went with interior defensive lineman, Peter Woods, out of Clemson

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Keylan Rutledge to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keylan Rutledge, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 18.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Llewellyn to be picked “fifth round pick” (picks 141–181)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Llewellyn, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 8.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Peter Woods to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Peter Woods, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 56.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 197**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Robert Spears-Jennings, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 31.05 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 33**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 33.86 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **James Thompson to be picked at number 223**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: James Thompson, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 186**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tanner Koziol, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 38.56 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Keylan Rutledge — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keylan-rutledge
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Max Llewellyn — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/max-llewellyn
- Peter Woods — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/peter-woods
- Robert Spears-Jennings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/robert-spears-jennings
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- James Thompson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/james-thompson
- Tanner Koziol — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tanner-koziol

## What others said about the same people

- Alain Poupart on Max Llewellyn: Poupart's third 53-man roster projection of 2026 for the Dolphins names which players make the roster and which are cut at each position group. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af1013eb-d6fa-476c-b1d9-bc977dff22a5 (scored 0)
- Nathan Jahnke on Luke McCaffrey: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Luke McCaffrey: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e (scored 100)
- Philip Hughes on Terry McLaurin: Hughes surveys Washington's remaining roster questions, asserting that Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs are locks for the 53-man roster and that Antonio Williams has essentially secured a spot as the third receiver, while Percy Butler's standing improved after safety cuts. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2708f043-e677-4a6f-b7ac-a2d1114be6ea (scored 100)
- Brian Peacock on James Thompson: Peacock lays out his projected 53-man roster for the 49ers, position by position: three specialists, three quarterbacks (including Curtis Rourke), five running backs, six receivers (cutting Christian Kirk), three tight ends (cutting Braden Willis), nine offensive linemen, ten defensive linemen (with Mykel Williams on PUP), five linebackers, six cornerbacks and four safeties. He also predicts a new player will take center snaps in preseason week three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/62e9aad7-105c-45a0-95b3-3b43b64603ae (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on James Thompson: Hurley projects the San Francisco 49ers' 17-man practice squad, naming specific players at each position he expects to land on it (with a few either/or spots). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/67e61dba-ee2d-4c4b-ae3b-f0e9a744cd6c (scored 0)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison
