# Nick Shook: Shook argues Cash Is Hal's short arms and 4.59 forty may have knocked him out of the first round entirely, defends Ruben Bain as a future stud despite short arms, calls Bailey a justified top-five pick, and doubts the Raiders will get two firsts plus a player for Maxx Crosby.

**Claimed:** Feb 27, 2026
**Pundit:** Nick Shook — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-shook
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/styles-and-reece-shine-at-combine-latest-trade-rumors-and-dan-morgan-and-dave-canales-join-the-show

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 83.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So I honestly think that he may have fallen out of the first round entirely.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **David Bailey to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cashius Howell to be picked “fallen out of the first round entirely” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cashius Howell
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Cashius Howell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cashius-howell

## What others said about the same people

- Pat Fitzmaurice on Cashius Howell: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 32.42)
- Jay Morrison on Cashius Howell: Following the preseason opener against Detroit, Morrison updated his Cincinnati Bengals 53-man roster projection, naming starters and backups at every position group and identifying which players are on the bubble. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f0a72a3d-7feb-4331-bc2c-8f92d529d752 (scored 100)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Cashius Howell: On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave his views on the 2026 draft class: he set his board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc772155-d332-4aba-a4c3-a99caa325a2f (scored 34.51)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Cashius Howell: Jeremiah previewed the combine with a series of draft projections: Ty Simpson ranked around 40th on his board with first-round upside, Garrett Nussmeier landing on Day 2 (more likely third round than second), Jeremiyah Love as a top-10 pick, Jeneian Price as a second-round pick, and Jermal McCoy potentially the first cornerback drafted. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b865856-02f6-442a-8d40-75e42704cead (scored 93.83)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Cashius Howell: In a pre-combine media Q&A, Jeremiah lays out his draft board: he expects an edge rusher to go early (Jets at 2, Arizona at 3), ranks Ruben Bain third among the top edge trio, sees Ty Simpson as the second quarterback with a 30s-40s grade, places Fernando Mendoza above the 2023 class's top three, and predicts specific players' landing spots and rounds. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7b09afb9-44ec-4189-8a94-37daee633ce7 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on David Bailey: Eisen endorsed four Ohio State players going in the top 10 (with Arvel Reese no lower than seventh), listed Mendoza, Jeremiah Love, Miami's left tackle, Penn State's interior guard and Bailey as top-10 picks, said Love won't get out of the top five, and agreed Mendoza's rookie numbers would beat Brady's 2001 line and that Mike Evans will leave Tampa to chase a ring. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d54552b5-50a7-48e0-b0dd-3cf296d356b7 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-shook
