# Chris Brockman: Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; he also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.

**Claimed:** Sep 22, 2025
**Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman
**Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP1159610959.mp3?updated=1758557456

7 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 conference champion, 1 power ranking, 1 super bowl pick, 1 surprise team call and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 5.2 out of 100, against 14.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> It feels like there's only about five teams that can win the Super Bowl.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Justin Herbert to win MVP**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Cincinnati Bengals to pick “picking in the top 10 this year” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 26.11 out of 100, against 73.84 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Jones to win MVP finalist**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **But right now, through three weeks, Rich, the Colts are top five team in the NFL.**
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers

## What others said about the same people

- Thomas Martinez on Patrick Herbert: Martinez projects the Chargers' starting lineups on offense and defense for their Week 3 game at Buffalo, with injuries forcing several changes — Oronde Gadsden II at tight end, Trevor Penning at left guard, Jamaree Caldwell at defensive tackle and RJ Mickens at safety — while expecting Ladd McConkey to play and Marquez Valdez-Scantling to debut. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bcc0c9e2-6313-45af-bc99-f1cd46806da6 (scored 0)
- Mike Kadlick on Green Bay Packers: Kadlick expects an ugly, low-scoring Thursday night game at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay beating Atlanta 10–7 to move to 2–1 while the Falcons drop to 0–3 in Michael Penix Jr.'s return. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e80b2d86-5533-4a14-b40a-9de75d1883bc (scored 7.14)
- Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin picks the Packers to beat the Falcons comfortably on Thursday Night Football, predicting a 23-13 Green Bay win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d0957a4-4d45-4f24-b6f9-a848eb47a374 (scored 23.81)
- Jordan Dajani on Green Bay Packers: Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac (scored 16.67)
- Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263 (scored 23.81)
- Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03 (scored 0)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jourdan Rodrigue on Penei Sewell: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3667c28e-88b0-4d8e-bebd-6ef088550e4f (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=chris-brockman
