# Jamie Erdahl: Jamie picked Baker Mayfield as her 2025 NFL MVP and said Tampa Bay would go into Atlanta and make noise in Week 1.

**Claimed:** Sep 3, 2025
**Pundit:** Jamie Erdahl — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-wednesday-hour-1-eagles-opener-chargers-chiefs-in-brazil-mvp-predictions

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> in twenty twenty five, your NFL MVP... Baker freaking may deal

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Baker Mayfield to win NFL MVP**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield

## What others said about the same people

- Tyler Sullivan on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d758df3d-dbf8-44e5-b96c-77485489cf0c (scored 19.05)
- Pete Prisco on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/29185ff4-dec4-498f-aa45-4ca2d72dcbe3 (scored 11.9)
- Richard Sherman on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a2c5da4-3fba-43d7-82eb-dc25b81f245e (scored 0)
- John Breech on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Breech picks every Week 2 game with scores, takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks, sees a Bills-Lions shootout, predicts Baker Mayfield's revenge win over Cleveland, and says the Browns will miss the playoffs while the Dolphins go winless. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/eb6d274b-c294-4c3d-ba42-d3dee06c6e87 (scored 16.67)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/735e7874-81a3-4bde-8c8f-d718cadf6e33 (scored 100)
- Seth Walder on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/61d68b2a-468b-44a5-b949-a6b152bbafc0 (scored 100)
- Eric Moody on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8781a68b-56d0-4cd0-bf58-b7791e174082 (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/738530b5-6f35-4dc3-95f4-716358983f8a (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Philadelphia Eagles: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Carolina Panthers: Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0290838b-8539-4133-bb24-a8c3a617bbd3 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jamie-erdahl
