# Chris Brockman: Brockman floats a series of overreactions: the Titans won't make the first overall pick because someone trades up, at least six quarterbacks and running backs combined go in round one, Shedeur Sanders falls out of the top 10, the Rams win the NFC West, the Commanders become the team to beat in the NFC, and Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota for $50 million a year. **Claimed:** Mar 3, 2025 **Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman **Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/WWO2260857622.mp3?updated=1741025770 5 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 mock draft pick, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 25.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. > the Titans won't be making the first overall pick. Someone's gonna move up. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Sam Darnold to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “fall out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Tennessee Titans to pick at number 1** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 77.11 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans ## What others said about the same people - Blaine Grisak on Dean Connors: Grisak argues Wesley Bailey has essentially played his way onto the Rams' roster after a 10-pressure preseason game, suggests Dean Connors and Tim Keenan III could be cut and stashed on the practice squad, and makes a case for Jarquez Hunter making the 53 despite bubble status. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dd80ddb6-ed9f-4eb7-9ec6-58f9e56d90d8 (scored 0) - Blaine Grisak on Dean Connors: After the Rams' first preseason game, Grisak predicted the full 53-man roster, naming three quarterbacks, four running backs, five receivers, five tight ends, nine offensive linemen, four linebackers, six defensive linemen, four edge rushers, five cornerbacks, five safeties and three special teamers, with Dean Connors headed for the practice squad instead. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/893ce849-9f8b-40c4-b5bc-a578611b14f8 (scored 100) - Blaine Grisak on Dean Connors: Reviewing the Rams' preseason win, Grisak predicted roster outcomes: Dean Connors likely lands on the practice squad rather than the 53, Xavier Smith's roster chances look poor, Nick Andersen is a strong practice squad candidate, and Mark Redman is likely a practice squad candidate. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6093b2fb-ed84-405f-9566-ec32fbdee8b6 (scored 0) - David Harrison on Tim Settle: Harrison gives his initial 53-man roster projection for the Washington Commanders: three quarterbacks including Ethan Kalyak Manus, three running backs, four tight ends, six receivers (leaving off De'Ami Brown and Jaden Bradley), nine offensive linemen with Matt Goldman at center, and a defense of six linebackers but only four cornerbacks. He also projects Tunstall and Newton going to IR on Monday with De'Ami Brown and Dietrich Wise re-signed, plus a corner-heavy practice squad. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1d5b2565-5531-47ac-bff8-ccb9b23a980a (scored 100) - David Harrison on Tyler Ott: Harrison projects the Washington Commanders' initial 53-man roster if it had to be set today, naming 26 offensive players, three specialists and 24 defenders, and also assigns depth-chart slots at quarterback, running back, the offensive line, the interior defensive line, and the return/specialist jobs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2e2254ee-daf7-4f82-81d4-2bc73e1b7291 (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on C.J. Daniels: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100) ## More conference champions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50) - Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100) - Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c31dff9f-7c0a-422d-9df1-e7423b9edcc8 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Seattle Seahawks: Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship he pegs around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/830a8ed3-b98f-4161-a71c-4c7beb80f350 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=chris-brockman