# Ethan Hurwitz: Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5.

**Claimed:** Aug 15, 2026
**Pundit:** Ethan Hurwitz — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/patriots/onsi/predicting-patriots-53-man-roster-after-preseason-opener-which-rookies-stay

57 checkable claims — 53 roster spot calls and 4 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 54 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

43 of 57 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 83.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I still believe that the Patriots will roll with six receivers and not seven.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Morgan Moses to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Morgan Moses, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Mike Onwenu to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mike Onwenu, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian Gonzalez to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Gonzalez, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian Elliss to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Elliss, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Hunter Henry to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Hunter Henry, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Eli Raridon to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Eli Raridon, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chad Muma to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Chad Muma, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Mack Hollins to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mack Hollins, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Efton Chism III to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Efton Chism III, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Cory Durden to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Cory Durden, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **DeMario Douglas to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: DeMario Douglas, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Carlton Davis III to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Carlton Davis III, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **TreVeyon Henderson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian Barmore to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Barmore, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Dre'Mont Jones to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Dre'Mont Jones, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Elijah Ponder to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Elijah Ponder, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Joshua Farmer to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Joshua Farmer, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Marcus Jones to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Marcus Jones, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Julian Ashby to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Julian Ashby, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kevin Byard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kevin Byard, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Rhamondre Stevenson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Dell Pettus to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Dell Pettus, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Andy Borregales to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Andy Borregales, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Behren Morton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Behren Morton, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Craig Woodson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Craig Woodson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Alijah Vera-Tucker to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Alijah Vera-Tucker, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Kyle Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kyle Williams, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Drake Maye to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ben Brown to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Ben Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tommy DeVito to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tommy DeVito, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **A.J. Brown to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Karon Prunty to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Karon Prunty, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **James Hudson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: James Hudson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Will Campbell to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Will Campbell, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tanner Arkin to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tanner Arkin, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Romeo Doubs to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Romeo Doubs, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Reggie Gilliam to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Reggie Gilliam, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Leonard Taylor III to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Leonard Taylor III, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Gabe Jacas to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Gabe Jacas, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Robert Spillane to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Robert Spillane, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Lomu to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Caleb Lomu, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Milton Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Milton Williams, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jared Wilson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jared Wilson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Harold Landry III to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Harold Landry III, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jam Miller to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jam Miller, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mike Brown to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mike Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Andrew Rupcich to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Andrew Rupcich, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bradyn Swinson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bradyn Swinson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kindle Vildor to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kindle Vildor, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marcus Bryant to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Marcus Bryant, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Khalil Jacobs to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Khalil Jacobs, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Reggie Gilliam to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Reggie Gilliam, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brenden Schooler to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brenden Schooler, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bryce Baringer to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bryce Baringer, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kindle Vildor to be 5th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kindle Vildor, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Karon Prunty to be 4th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Karon Prunty, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jam Miller to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jam Miller, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Morgan Moses — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/morgan-moses
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Mike Onwenu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-onwenu
- Christian Gonzalez — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-gonzalez
- Christian Elliss — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss
- Hunter Henry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry
- Eli Raridon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/eli-raridon
- Chad Muma — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chad-muma
- Mack Hollins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mack-hollins
- Efton Chism III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/efton-chism-iii
- Cory Durden — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cory-durden
- DeMario Douglas — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas
- Carlton Davis III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carlton-davis-iii
- TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson
- Christian Barmore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-barmore
- Dre'Mont Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dre-mont-jones
- Elijah Ponder — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder
- Joshua Farmer — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/joshua-farmer
- Marcus Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marcus-jones
- Julian Ashby — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/julian-ashby
- Kevin Byard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kevin-byard
- Rhamondre Stevenson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson
- Dell Pettus — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dell-pettus
- Andy Borregales — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/andy-borregales
- Behren Morton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/behren-morton
- Craig Woodson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/craig-woodson
- Alijah Vera-Tucker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/alijah-vera-tucker
- Kyle Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kyle-williams
- Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/drake-maye
- Ben Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ben-brown
- Tommy DeVito — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tommy-devito
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- Karon Prunty — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/karon-prunty
- James Hudson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/james-hudson
- Will Campbell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/will-campbell
- Tanner Arkin — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tanner-arkin
- Romeo Doubs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/romeo-doubs
- Reggie Gilliam — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/reggie-gilliam
- Leonard Taylor III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/leonard-taylor-iii
- Gabe Jacas — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/gabe-jacas
- Robert Spillane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/robert-spillane
- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- Milton Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/milton-williams
- Jared Wilson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jared-wilson
- Harold Landry III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/harold-landry-iii
- Jam Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jam-miller
- Mike Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-brown-9699
- Andrew Rupcich — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/andrew-rupcich
- Bradyn Swinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bradyn-swinson
- Kindle Vildor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kindle-vildor
- Marcus Bryant — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marcus-bryant
- Khalil Jacobs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/khalil-jacobs
- Brenden Schooler — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brenden-schooler
- Bryce Baringer — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bryce-baringer

## What others said about the same people

- Julian Edelman on New England Patriots: Edelman picked the Patriots to win the season opener in Seattle, saying New England's offseason additions and the bad taste from the previous season would carry them, and gave a final score of 28-24. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec6f039f-3212-4e37-8fdb-fb4e95248198 (scored 47.62)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Boston Connor took the Patriots in the season opener against Seattle, framing it as a redemption spot after the Super Bowl loss. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/81f37749-a752-4bb2-a7b4-9161c4281d1f (scored 0)
- Darius Butler on New England Patriots: Butler initially picked Seattle but switched to the Patriots before the show ended; he also called the Colts a likely No. 1 seed, said Jacksonville sneaks into the playoffs, and expects Sam Darnold to land a new contract. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/619c7bcd-5c13-4522-bfe2-21070176447e (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on New England Patriots: McIntyre takes the Patriots on the moneyline in the season opener at Seattle, picks the Jaguars over the Browns, and says Baker Mayfield's new deal keeps Tampa a perennial playoff team. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/57e6d050-3be4-4a2c-bd4e-e4422acf969a (scored 0)
- Mike Florio on New England Patriots: Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea (scored 50)
- Conor Orr on New England Patriots: Orr's Week 1 straight-up picks, including several upsets (Patriots, Buccaneers, Browns, Dolphins, Commanders, Broncos). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/54ae8d21-7621-4c3d-816c-e879aed9b5c2 (scored 0)

## More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Cody Rourke on Mitchell Fraboni: Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. He also expects long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ecf0b4d8-7096-41e4-b8bd-f37d5cdcd8d5 (scored 0)
- Sayre Bedinger on Adam Prentice: Benninger expects Houston's elite defense to make them either a division winner or a wild card team, thinks Marvin Mims was trending toward being Denver's fourth receiver rather than just the return man, and figures Adam Prentice will be the Broncos' other practice-squad call-up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac244b64-ba35-48be-bad9-b54ef4f4fcfc (scored 0)
- Bob Morris on Adam Prentice: Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fbd4f215-eaf5-4bff-9431-d661656ff28a (scored 100)
- Erick Trickel on Adam Prentice: After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3b8bcd8c-c4ab-4a02-9bb6-39d20cae9d37 (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Aaron Donald: Shook unveiled his first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ea18c6ec-7662-4e66-91ed-4d0ef9d7d97d (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=ethan-hurwitz
