# Rob Rang: Rang argues Arch Manning is not a lock to go first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft, but says that if Manning improves his quick-game accuracy, progression reads and winning (especially on the road), he will be the No. 1 overall pick.

**Claimed:** Sep 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Rob Rang — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rob-rang
**Outlet:** Fox Sports — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fox-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/three-things-texas-qb-arch-manning-must-prove-before-2027-nfl-draft

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> But, if Manning can improve in three particular areas, I believe he will follow in his famous uncles' footsteps and hear his name called first on draft day.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Arch Manning to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arch-manning

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Brockman on Arch Manning: Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/131d5e9e-fb6e-4065-b724-39f59b1083a6 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Arch Manning: Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2baf62d9-875a-4021-b4ba-f8e02158c8bb (scored 0)
- Brady Quinn on Arch Manning: Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. He also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if he comes out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if he has the year Quinn expects. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/93e9a9eb-9946-49bd-a51b-8581c0e21b09 (scored 0)
- Kyle Crabbs on Arch Manning: In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/851c6bce-ef17-4f39-8c0f-58744c8d8f72 (scored 0)
- Josh Edwards on Arch Manning: An unsigned CBS Sports 2027 NFL mock draft projecting the full first round plus select second-round picks, headlined by Arch Manning going No. 1 overall to Miami and five quarterbacks in Round 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/58126cd0-e22d-4c12-8c23-f9a979de6d7d (not settled)
- Charlie Campbell on Arch Manning: An unsigned college scouting recap projecting several prospects' NFL draft standing: Arch Manning as a high first-round pick, Jeremiah Smith as one of the first players drafted and a future elite No. 1 receiver/early Pro Bowler, Cam Coleman as a top-20 pick, Colin Simmons and John Henry Daley as first-rounders, and Zeke Berry as more of a second-round pick. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff9c1659-a2e0-425b-9ffc-8de3a731fa8e (not settled)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on Brandon Doughty: Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/16ab5f5d-0f01-48ee-a1df-63c1b1996dc3 (scored 2.63)
- Peter Bukowski on Gennings Dunker: Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f77d920f-e5fe-4684-83b6-9105b6304d5b (scored 100)
- David Harrison on Eli Heidenreich: Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5cc44fc1-4ff9-447a-9c32-5f715fa6e9ba (scored 100)
- Brian Peacock on Bud Clark: In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc1842ef-bbb3-49c0-ad24-ec5db753c59b (scored 95.76)
- David Harrison on Riley Nowakowski: In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e0151883-b7ac-4b3a-ae45-1cc58b32adb8 (scored 12.5)
- Damian Parson on Zachariah Branch: Locked On's draft analyst laid out where several prospects should land in the upcoming draft: Zachariah Branch as a Day 2/third-round target for the Chargers, Penn State's top offensive lineman gone well before pick 22 (ideally 14 to Baltimore), Akeem Mesador and Malachi Lawrence as first-round edge rushers, Derrick Moore as a Day 2 edge, and Texas's left tackle as a top-10 pick next year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b352f2ad-cf9f-4086-8229-68786b3029cf (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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