# Jamie Erdahl: Erdahl picks Baker Mayfield for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, and has the Buccaneers, Ravens, Giants and Jaguars in the playoffs, with Jacksonville winning the AFC South. **Claimed:** Sep 3, 2025 **Pundit:** Jamie Erdahl — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl **Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-wednesday-hour-2-playoff-teams-reactions-brandon-graham-and-defensive-poy-predictions 7 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 2 award picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 28.6 out of 100, against 27.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Michaeh. Parsons will be the next one to do it for the Green Bay Packers. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baker Mayfield to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Micah Parsons, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Micah Parsons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/micah-parsons - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart ## What others said about the same people - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0290838b-8539-4133-bb24-a8c3a617bbd3 (scored 0) - Carter Bahns on Jacksonville Jaguars: He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f1b6765-6f6f-4600-95a2-8ca2115edda6 (scored 50) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2cdeee40-89bf-46f1-b5a1-1a2511dc01cd (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Jacksonville Jaguars: Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/36d4ede8-3066-4102-abbc-cb08e4544c92 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d9357a30-3f1d-4be4-8ce6-529f21f9aeac (scored 0) - Greg Jennings on Green Bay Packers: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 100) ## More playoff picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Dan "Buzz" Wilson on Philadelphia Eagles: Wilson argued the Eagles' offseason approach of prioritizing 2026 and beyond doesn't mean a bad 2025 — he expects them to remain among the NFC's best teams and to make a deep playoff run rather than fall off to eight or nine wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afce079c-b986-476b-a872-09905017fc6f (scored 100) - Craig Stout on Kansas City Chiefs: Craig believes better execution from a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team will be enough to return them to the playoffs in the coming season, and he expects Tyler Algeier to land with Denver as a complement to RJ Harvey. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4ad5b565-6220-4c30-9371-e55be75a35f0 (scored 0) - Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 0) - Rich Eisen on Minnesota Vikings: Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/29ea2738-79a2-4be9-aa45-e794cd3848fb (scored 0) - Dwaine Board on San Francisco 49ers: Board argues the 49ers can still make the playoffs even if Trent Williams leaves, expects Williams to be brought back, and favors drafting a wide receiver at No. 27 over an offensive tackle. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/07beb6d4-aadc-4b2d-b131-b889c85204a3 (scored 100) - Rich Eisen on Carolina Panthers: Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/34345186-876a-4c4b-9567-9c289a6cbace (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jamie-erdahl