# Nick Wright: In an AFC over/under draft, Wright took the Ravens over 11.5 (13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed), Bengals under, Jaguars over (10 wins and a playoff berth), Chargers under, Chiefs over (12 wins, beating Denver in Week 1), Broncos over (10 wins and a playoff spot), and Patriots under, while also projecting the Bills to win the AFC East with 11 wins.

**Claimed:** Sep 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://pdrl.fm/91be81/podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/9ce11dad-e86a-444f-ba83-ae27003475be/fc9f75c7-45ea-443f-9114-b4b9000e04f3/audio.mp3?in_playlist=deff018f-4b51-4501-937c-ae27003475d1

16 checkable claims — 11 season win totals, 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 9 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 5 and below it on 4.

> And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Kansas City Chiefs to win**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Cincinnati Bengals to finish with ? wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Denver Broncos to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Houston Texans to finish with ? wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills

## What others said about the same people

- John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Jared Dubin on Daniel Faalele: Dubin grades the Faalele trade, predicting Faalele has a decent chance to be Jacksonville's Week 1 starting right guard in competition with Wyatt Milum, and that Evan Neal's odds of making the Giants' 53-man roster improved while Jon Runyan and Francis Mauigoa hold the Giants' starting guard jobs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aae46267-fc6d-44c1-a96c-7355b3db857b (scored 0)
- Noah Compton on C.J. Allen: After watching the Colts' eleventh training camp practice, Compton says rookie linebacker CJ Allen is still expected to start the regular-season opener, identifies Alec Pierce as the team's top receiver and Cam Taylor-Britt as the first cornerback behind the starting trio, and declares the kicking job Blake Grupe's to lose. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/98a8bd92-bcd8-4b5a-aad7-96ecd936662b (scored 0)
- John Shipley on Patrick Mekari: Shipley projects second-year cornerback Jabbar Muhammad to make the Jaguars' 53-man roster and describes him as the team's clear No. 5 cornerback, a role that would earn him a game-day jersey. He also identifies Patrick Mekari, Walker Little and Ezra Cleveland as projected Week 1 offensive line starters. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dd093e7d-3a57-4ecb-ae09-af7eadfb15b0 (scored 0)
- Mason Cameron on Ethan Pocic: An unsigned PFF piece ranks the NFL's top 32 centers heading into the 2026 season, with Creed Humphrey first for the fourth straight year, and names Ethan Pocic and Austin Schlottmann as the favorites to win starting center jobs in Baltimore and Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac17490e-98b7-4d3c-9fea-750e5dc9e486 (scored 0)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- JP Acosta on New York Giants: Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/17ab1ec5-a2f1-41c6-a6df-a0e6d949351b (scored 40)
- Rich Eisen on New Orleans Saints: Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/15192136-24b9-4127-ac9d-69dc69aab3d5 (scored 40)
- Chris Brockman on New Orleans Saints: Brockman floated the 49ers as the team to beat in the NFC after their Sunday night win, predicted James Cook would lead the league in rushing, and said Tyler Shough will win Rookie of the Year with the Saints finishing above .500 next season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e393bfed-202c-4c67-9054-793f6bdad096 (scored 40)
- Rich Eisen on Chicago Bears: Rich Eisen gave his Week 15 top-10 power rankings, installing the Rams at No. 1 as the best team in football, adding the Jaguars and keeping the Bears despite their loss, while dropping the Cowboys and Eagles off the list. He also projected 10-win seasons for both Chicago and Jacksonville and said the Jaguars would handle the Jets at home. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a3c3755f-fe00-4096-a948-18cb17e42e14 (scored 80)
- Rich Eisen on Carolina Panthers: Eisen picked the Colts as the AFC's top seed, named Jonathan Taylor a top-three MVP finisher, said this season puts Matthew Stafford in the Hall of Fame, kept the NFC North as Detroit's division, and had Tampa Bay as the NFC South playoff team while allowing Carolina could reach 10 wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/461dae90-20ce-4caf-a6a0-3bdaa3c3d28d (scored 60)
- Andrew Santino on Chicago Bears: Santino, as recounted on the show, predicted in May that the Bears would finish 11-6. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/65024252-a89e-4e70-8764-459113ce0a69 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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