# Chris Brockman: Brockman argued four Ohio State players will be taken in the top 10, that Fernando Mendoza will be the first QB off the board and top Tom Brady's 2001 statistical line as a rookie, that Jeremiah Love will beat Ashton Jeanty's rookie production, that tight ends Kenyan Sadiq and Eli Stowers both go top 20, that Ty Simpson is the second QB drafted in round one and starts Week 1, that Jimmy Garoppolo gets the Cardinals over .500, and that Mike Evans leaves Tampa for a contender and goes further in the playoffs than the Bucs. **Claimed:** Mar 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman **Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP5403803086.mp3?updated=1772472466 15 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 3 player season numbers, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 9 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 91 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 2. > Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Eli Stowers - Verdict: scored 22.93 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Fernando Mendoza - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 33.08 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Fernando Mendoza - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jeremiyah Love to record 55 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jeremiyah Love - Verdict: not settled yet - **Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Mike Evans to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Mike Evans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Fernando Mendoza - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Eli Stowers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/eli-stowers - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Mike Evans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-evans ## What others said about the same people - Henry McKenna on Carson Beck: McKenna predicts Kyler Murray will win the Vikings' starting QB job over J.J. McCarthy, that Minnesota will make the playoffs if Murray cuts out the hero ball, that both QBs will play in 2026, and wonders whether rookie Carson Beck could unseat Jacoby Brissett as Arizona's Week 1 starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9025c533-03e6-4e1f-8773-b8ef2f1d46ea (scored 0) - Shannon Sharpe on Fernando Mendoza: Sharpe expects Myles Garrett, now with the Rams, to remain dominant and post at least 14-15 sacks, and he also thinks Micah Parsons will again reach double-digit sacks. He predicts the Dolphins win only two games this season, and says Jeremiah Smith won't go ahead of Mendoza at the top of the draft. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/471fb1a1-3faf-4a75-bf81-ff8ebf57c88d (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on Reggie Virgil: PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8f52d1f8-91ed-459c-99a7-30c2d3fb38e0 (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on Reggie Virgil: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on Reggie Virgil: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e (scored 100) - Donnie Druin on Eku Leota: Previewing the Cardinals' final 2026 preseason game, Druin identifies roster bubble players: he favors Jalen Brooks over Ihmir Smith-Marsette for a sixth receiver spot, expects Oli Udoh to miss out, projects BJ Ojulari to be cut with Eku Leota making the team instead, and names Elijah Jones as the likely cornerback casualty. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5ab6b69b-7514-4c48-9ad4-a6495e981071 (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Rob Rang on Jeremiah Smith: Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd619cef-1878-4067-9021-a5ec734d35ed (scored 0) - Gregg Rosenthal on Brandon Doughty: Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/16ab5f5d-0f01-48ee-a1df-63c1b1996dc3 (scored 2.63) - Peter Bukowski on Gennings Dunker: Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f77d920f-e5fe-4684-83b6-9105b6304d5b (scored 100) - David Harrison on Eli Heidenreich: Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5cc44fc1-4ff9-447a-9c32-5f715fa6e9ba (scored 100) - Brian Peacock on Bud Clark: In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc1842ef-bbb3-49c0-ad24-ec5db753c59b (scored 95.76) - David Harrison on Riley Nowakowski: In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e0151883-b7ac-4b3a-ae45-1cc58b32adb8 (scored 12.5) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=chris-brockman