# Cynthia Frelund: Freeland's model has the Chargers winning straight up in Dallas, the Texans winning big over the Raiders and going on to win the AFC South, the Lions beating the Steelers by six, the Saints beating the Jets, and the Packers beating the Bears; she also sees the AFC's Super Bowl representative being either Denver or Houston. **Claimed:** Dec 19, 2025 **Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/week-16-nfl-picks-with-cynthia-frelund 8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 8 have settled, averaging 43.8 out of 100, against 37.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. > My model has a straight up win for the Chargers. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Green Bay Packers to beat Bears** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to beat Raiders** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cowboys** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New Orleans Saints to beat Jets** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Detroit Lions to beat Steelers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions ## What others said about the same people - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f (scored 0) - Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71) - Steve Mensch on Caleb Lomu: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 62.09) - Nick Shook on Breece Hall: Shook names Breece Hall, Jakobi Meyers and David Njoku as trade candidates, suggesting Hall could land with the Chargers and that the Raiders will move Meyers as sellers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef6a34cf-2058-4df8-b11a-0ac4a67b074e (scored 0) - Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Buffalo Bills: Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a2c5da4-3fba-43d7-82eb-dc25b81f245e (scored 100) - Joe Marino on Buffalo Bills: Marino predicts the Bills beat the Lions in the Thursday night home opener to go 2-0, and expects a shootout with Goff and Allen combining for over 600 passing yards (each with a good chance at 300+). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1ad88a4-c4da-4ce0-9de2-9f175899a120 (scored 100) - Walter Cherepinsky on Buffalo Bills: In the Week 2 Thursday night game, he predicts the Bills beat the Lions 31-24, expecting Detroit's offense to bounce back but Buffalo to prevail, with Josh Allen thriving and James Cook struggling again. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/23d06152-4a11-4813-b658-bad85a05d08d (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Buffalo Bills: Sherman previewed the AFC, picking the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans as division winners with Denver, New England and Jacksonville as wild cards, called several individual early-season games, and predicted a big year for Travis Hunter at cornerback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/72ff16c2-b2aa-4bf7-aad7-0cdabfa8a999 (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Buffalo Bills: Sherman picked the Seahawks to repeat as NFC West champs, Dallas to win the East, Detroit the North and Tampa Bay the South, with the Rams, 49ers and Bears as wild cards. He also gave records for each team's first four games and picked the Rams over the 49ers in Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/899da7d4-df5a-4224-84ca-ef4e215dc978 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=cynthia-frelund