# Cynthia Frelund: Frelund presented her top-10 fantasy quarterback rankings for the season, headed by Josh Allen with Joe Burrow second, and added Jared Goff at No. 11. She also predicted 11 wins for the 49ers, that Burrow leads the league in passing touchdowns (possibly up to 50), and expects improvement/surprises from the Raiders and Patriots. **Claimed:** Jul 22, 2025 **Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund **Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-tuesday-hour-1-dallas-cowboys-expectations-micah-parsons-contract-top-10-fantasy-football-qbs 6 checkable claims — 2 surprise team calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 player season number, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 33.8 out of 100, against 18.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > This guy is number one last season, He'll be number one next season until he's not the rushing plus passing capabilities of Josh Allen. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's Baker Mayfield... At number eight, we got our sophomore bow Nicks... At number seven, it's Kyler Murray... at number six, Patrick Mahomes... number five. Jayden Daniels... Lamar Jackson comes in at number four... At number three, Tush push still there... Jalen Hurts... So Joe Burrow... and at number one... Josh Allen... Jared Goff's eleven.** - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: scored 55 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Joe Burrow to record 50 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 20.05 for a naive guess - **Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **New England Patriots to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Joe Burrow — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/joe-burrow - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots ## What others said about the same people - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0) - Mike Tannenbaum on Stefon Diggs: Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7a29c18-face-49c0-b84f-33715b4c6678 (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on A.J. Brown: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 100) - Jeremy White on A.J. Brown: Jeremy White expects the Patriots to acquire AJ Brown, calling the trade likely inevitable within about a month. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a8701720-01eb-4a29-8bf1-5a8555f0d1ed (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on A.J. Brown: Brockman predicted only Stafford and Josh Allen of last year's MVP vote-getters get votes again, Fernando Mendoza starts and wins Rookie of the Year, the Colts win the AFC South, AJ Brown is traded to New England leaving DeVonta Smith as Philadelphia's clear No. 1 and a breakout star, five running backs top 1,600 yards, George Pickens breaks a Cowboys receiving record, and Justin Fields starts for Kansas City in September. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2307f474-6a3d-405e-b048-7b023ffda1be (scored 100) ## More surprise team calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Wright on Atlanta Falcons: Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d9357a30-3f1d-4be4-8ce6-529f21f9aeac (not settled) - Pete Prisco on Arizona Cardinals: A Week 2 NFL power rankings column places the Seahawks first and the Dolphins last, with the 49ers rising six spots after beating the Rams and the Cowboys falling 12 after losing to the Giants. It also suggests the Cardinals and Jets could be better than expected. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c5b3ea52-abec-4709-9830-c2d0c3016f61 (not settled) - Rich Eisen on New Orleans Saints: Eisen accepted that the Giants can be the best team in the NFC East (while pumping the brakes on NFC contender talk), restated his preseason Josh Allen MVP pick, insisted the Rams are too talented to miss the playoffs, and put his marker on the Saints as the NFC South team that can beat expectations. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c97509bf-62f7-4680-9786-5ec11688175a (not settled) - Fox Sports on New Orleans Saints: Relaying anonymous NFL executives and scouts, the piece names Saints QB Tyler Shough as this season's breakout star whose numbers could pop, suggests New Orleans could surprise people in a weak division, and says Bears youngsters Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland will become elite — with Burden taking over as Chicago's No. 1 receiver ahead of Rome Odunze. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4a5acd69-ba40-4b2c-b159-d5ac40adfa8f (not settled) - Bill Cowher on Pittsburgh Steelers: Cowher said the Steelers are flying under the radar entering the season and will have a better identity, framing them as a team that beats expectations. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9d5aa196-bf81-47c2-aacf-4ee04d5eb84f (not settled) - JJ Watt on Jacksonville Jaguars: Watt gave Seattle's defensive front the edge over New England's, said the Jaguars remain underrated and under-discussed, and described USC product Lloyd as the Packers' bell-cow starting back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a0b8cdf2-fac3-4496-a7cf-c7592d7d82ea (not settled) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=cynthia-frelund