# LaVar Arrington: Arrington expects Penn State to exploit Oregon's run defense and cover the three-and-a-half point spread. In the NFL picks segment he took Minnesota to cover at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia over Tampa Bay, the Rams over the Colts, Kansas City on the money line over Baltimore, and Dallas plus seven against Green Bay. **Claimed:** Sep 26, 2025 **Pundit:** LaVar Arrington — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lavar-arrington **Outlet:** 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe/hour-3-jonas-brady-lavar-picks-against-the-spread-1 5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 5 have settled, averaging 70 out of 100, against 70 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I feel like they're going to cover. I really do. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Colts** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Ravens** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Tampa Bay** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys ## What others said about the same people - John Middlekauff on Philadelphia Eagles: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100) - Jeff Kerr on Philadelphia Eagles: Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/90fdbe23-0880-4177-a75c-2784aeecf209 (scored 100) - Cory Nidoh on Philadelphia Eagles: Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/17f67cbb-f466-4d2f-b138-69e366c94a58 (scored 100) - Joshua Schulman on Kansas City Chiefs: Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/688ed965-da9e-4ced-9e80-10e7c54d5f43 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2cdeee40-89bf-46f1-b5a1-1a2511dc01cd (scored 100) - Greg Jennings on Kansas City Chiefs: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 100) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/735e7874-81a3-4bde-8c8f-d718cadf6e33 (scored 100) - Seth Walder on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/61d68b2a-468b-44a5-b949-a6b152bbafc0 (scored 100) - Eric Moody on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8781a68b-56d0-4cd0-bf58-b7791e174082 (scored 100) - Pamela Maldonado on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/738530b5-6f35-4dc3-95f4-716358983f8a (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Carolina Panthers: Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0290838b-8539-4133-bb24-a8c3a617bbd3 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=lavar-arrington