# Nick Wright: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. **Claimed:** Jan 24, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM4062541542.mp3?updated=1769213493 7 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions, 1 award pick, 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 32.7 out of 100, against 34.7 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The Broncos crowd and the Broncos defense carries them to a seventeen thirteen, seventeen fourteen type of victory. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams to win** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seattle Seahawks 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 95.3 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos 17 — New England 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 45.24 out of 100, against 47.69 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to win** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Matthew Stafford to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Matthew Stafford — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matthew-stafford ## What others said about the same people - Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: Dubin picks Denver to win narrowly in Kansas City, 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4339e96-6ced-44c2-88e9-b490d027df7b (scored 2.38) - Tyler Sullivan on Denver Broncos: Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8636e57-b6d8-471a-a98a-75871c7ee5bf (scored 9.52) - Jordan Dajani on Denver Broncos: Dajani picks the Broncos over the Chiefs, 17-14. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/12e23aa9-d2ca-4db3-bfb0-25c09e63b1eb (scored 7.14) - John Breech on Denver Broncos: In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31f3511a-a211-46e0-a6dd-d2cfb70ee207 (scored 4.76) - Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: The unbylined CBS Sports preview picks Denver to win at Arrowhead in Week 1, 21-20, and expects Kenneth Walker III to be Kansas City's lead back while Jaylen Waddle serves as Bo Nix's top receiving target in Denver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdfdacff-d438-489d-bad2-1d9587b82609 (scored 2.38) - Danny Parkins on Denver Broncos: Parkins picked the Giants to upset Dallas, the Steelers to beat Atlanta by two scores, the Bears to beat Carolina, the Bills to beat Houston and Denver to beat Kansas City outright; he also said Justin Herbert will win an MVP and had the Bengals as AFC North champs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/36c480cc-6b54-4cea-8204-3fc00ea6493c (scored 0) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - John Pluym on Kansas City Chiefs: Pluym's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf (scored 100) - Matt Verderame on Kansas City Chiefs: Verderame's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4f51f97-310d-4665-a47e-fdab93ff1fd1 (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Kansas City Chiefs: Kadlick's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/934613ff-97e3-4894-a383-faa755bdfc35 (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Kansas City Chiefs: Sherman previewed the AFC, picking the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans as division winners with Denver, New England and Jacksonville as wild cards, called several individual early-season games, and predicted a big year for Travis Hunter at cornerback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/72ff16c2-b2aa-4bf7-aad7-0cdabfa8a999 (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Kansas City Chiefs: Filling in as host, he ran through the second half of his Week 1 NFL picks, calling winners in the Bengals-Bucs, Ravens-Colts, Eagles-Commanders, Vikings-Packers, Dolphins-Raiders, Chargers-Cardinals, Cowboys-Giants and Chiefs-Broncos games, including a 27-10 Eagles score. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b08e81a-baf6-4a4d-8d1b-f06ae2b3e515 (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Kansas City Chiefs: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre pushed back on the idea that Kenneth Walker makes the Chiefs contenders again, still expecting Kansas City to reach the playoffs, and then gave out the second half of his Week 1 NFL picks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1ba44d23-c8a2-4583-87ff-18749c6585fe (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright