# Matt Miller: ESPN draft analyst Matt Miller laid out his expectations for the upcoming draft: Carnell Tate goes somewhere between picks four and nine (not lasting to Miami at 11), Jeremiah Love goes between four and seven with the two Notre Dame backs as the first two running backs off the board, Jadarian Price is a top-40 pick, Arkansas' Mike Washington is a second-rounder, Ty Simpson's likelier landing spot is round two, and Miami right tackle Francis Mauigoa won't fall far past the top five. **Claimed:** Mar 17, 2026 **Pundit:** Matt Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-miller **Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP5144304283.mp3?updated=1773775063 8 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 5 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 81.6 out of 100, against 41.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. > So I think the window for Carnell Tate is is really it's from four to nine. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jeremiyah Love - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 25.97 for a naive guess - **Jadarian Price to be 2nd running back off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jadarian Price - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 31.29 for a naive guess - **Jadarian Price to be picked “a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick” (picks 1–40)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jadarian Price - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mike Washington to be picked “probably a second round pick” (picks 33–64)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mike Washington - Verdict: scored 8.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Francis Mauigoa to be picked “he will not get very far out of the top five” (picks 1–5)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked “more round two than round one”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Carnell Tate to be picked “from four to nine”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked “anywhere from four to seven”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Jadarian Price — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jadarian-price - Mike Washington — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-washington - Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate ## What others said about the same people - Patricia Traina on Francis Mauigoa: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100) - Blaine Grisak on Ty Simpson: After the Rams' first preseason game, Grisak predicted the full 53-man roster, naming three quarterbacks, four running backs, five receivers, five tight ends, nine offensive linemen, four linebackers, six defensive linemen, four edge rushers, five cornerbacks, five safeties and three special teamers, with Dean Connors headed for the practice squad instead. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/893ce849-9f8b-40c4-b5bc-a578611b14f8 (scored 100) - Dharya Sharma on Carnell Tate: Previewing the Titans' preseason opener, Sharma identifies five receivers as roster locks, expects Bryce Oliver to make the 53 on special teams value, and predicts Will Levis will not be on Tennessee's roster by September, likely being moved for a late-round pick. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60a6ef5-4d69-4548-ad17-906bf8bfb384 (scored 100) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Francis Mauigoa: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71) - Steve Mensch on Caleb Lomu: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 62.09) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=matt-miller