# Mike Garafolo: For his Whiteboard Wednesday shock pick he went with the underdog Broncos as the No. 1 seed shocking the world, while conceding he had ranked the Bills first in the AFC and doubted it would happen.

**Claimed:** Jan 14, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Garafolo — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-garafolo
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-wednesday-hour-1-mike-tomlin-steps-down-playoff-predictions-josh-allens-year

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So shock the world number one seed, Broncos go.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos to beat Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos

## What others said about the same people

- Greg Jennings on Denver Broncos: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 100)
- Lance Sanderson on Denver Broncos: Sanderson thinks Denver cleans up its play on both sides of the ball and wins a close one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/321608f8-aa29-4e5d-bde1-b61f037eeb04 (scored 88.1)
- Bob Morris on Denver Broncos: Morris expects cleaner tackling and offensive rhythm to give Denver a close win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f55c74eb-160d-4e25-bffe-b80da0ffc07b (scored 90.48)
- Zack Kelberman on Denver Broncos: Kelberman picks a narrow Broncos home win, with Bo Nix doing just enough in the clutch. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5536bef7-2446-4a4f-853d-78c659eb7ba6 (scored 85.71)
- Keith Cummings on Denver Broncos: Cummings predicts Denver cleans things up and wins in overtime on a Wil Lutz field goal. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8258d3ea-47e0-42b5-b7d4-ba8b87c5d3e2 (scored 90.48)
- Carl Dumler on Denver Broncos: Dumler sees the Broncos bouncing back behind the run game and the home crowd, winning on a late field goal. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d678b42-fd27-46f9-9862-273c8ca6b771 (scored 90.48)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e613e391-ce67-4554-a115-59096e1fecfd (scored 100)
- Dan Orlovsky on Los Angeles Rams: Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/35fbf38d-85b0-4e52-b089-d8d9b6858e46 (scored 100)
- Patricia Traina on New York Giants: In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ed7864bb-8795-4c1b-9517-fd7164fefb20 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on New York Giants: Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/36d4ede8-3066-4102-abbc-cb08e4544c92 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Los Angeles Rams: Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/76dcca59-cf3e-4bfd-a7c6-66574a348a51 (scored 100)
- Brady Quinn on Los Angeles Rams: In the weekly Picks Against the Spread segment, Quinn took the Vikings to beat the Bears outright, the Bengals to win outright in Houston, the Broncos to beat the Jaguars while laying points, and the Rams to beat the Giants while laying seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/76728f56-0fc7-40dc-8cb7-9cb5e90dd42f (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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