# Mike Florio: Florio wants no part of George Kittle even inside the top 10 tight ends, lays out a tight end order with McBride and Bowers first and LaPorta pushed to five, is off Patrick Mahomes as a fantasy quarterback while still expecting him to start Week 1, and thinks Ty Simpson is now a first-round pick who would take over in Arizona by October.

**Claimed:** Apr 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Florio — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-florio
**Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-fantasy-football-podcast/breaking-down-charles-davis-mock-draft-3-0

6 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 29.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> I don't think I would even take him top ten, Like, I want no part of this.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jacoby Brissett, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **McBride Bowers feel like a lock... Then you got Loveland and Warren, who I do think are going to consistently go three four. I'm pushing Sam Laporte up to five**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ty Simpson, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Jacoby Brissett — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jacoby-brissett
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals

## What others said about the same people

- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8f52d1f8-91ed-459c-99a7-30c2d3fb38e0 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e (scored 100)
- Donnie Druin on Jalen Brooks: Druin suggests Jalen Brooks has broken out in Cardinals camp and could land a roster spot as Arizona's sixth wide receiver, though he won't displace any of the top wideouts. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a199c40d-87c8-4034-a6a8-e042c68652f3 (scored 100)
- Donnie Druin on Eku Leota: Previewing the Cardinals' final 2026 preseason game, Druin identifies roster bubble players: he favors Jalen Brooks over Ihmir Smith-Marsette for a sixth receiver spot, expects Oli Udoh to miss out, projects BJ Ojulari to be cut with Eku Leota making the team instead, and names Elijah Jones as the likely cornerback casualty. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5ab6b69b-7514-4c48-9ad4-a6495e981071 (scored 100)
- Darren Smith on Felix Anudike-Uzomah: Smith picks L.J. Snead over Kristian Fulton to stick on the roster, believes the defensive lineman (FAU) is a lock to make the team, and states firmly that Patrick Mahomes will start under center in Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/be7751b5-c07f-4978-a3e3-582f98aba282 (scored 100)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Fox Sports on Michael Penix Jr.: Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a90e69a8-707f-43e9-a63e-cdb3e7bd0829 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Aaron Jones: In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31adc8bb-8f15-453f-bbcf-cab44e29b8b3 (scored 100)
- Matt Severance on Deshaun Watson: The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/944568ce-7205-409f-8354-a392016fd8bf (scored 100)
- Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d7d7e0a2-61e0-4525-970b-b01a2356f11b (scored 100)
- Rich Hribar on Tua Tagovailoa: Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/124ac755-a942-4382-8bad-177da7f8170d (scored 0)
- Bradley Locker on Carson Wentz: PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a3716f21-0488-4fc8-a414-c25c2d781a6e (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-florio
