# Brandon Carney: Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. He also ranks his top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.

**Claimed:** Mar 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Brandon Carney — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-carney
**Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/18776035-combine-reactions-fa-trade-rumors-keep-3-cut-5-podcast-for-3-2.mp3

7 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls, 2 depth chart calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 87.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I think Gino's going to the Vikings.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Ty Simpson to be picked “not gonna go in the top 10” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Geno Smith to move to Minnesota Vikings**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Geno Smith, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Geno Smith to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Geno Smith, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Wan'Dale Robinson to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Wan'Dale Robinson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **I would say Chase one. Okay. Puka two. Yep. Lamb three for now. JSN four.**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Geno Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/geno-smith
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Mike Evans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-evans
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Wan'Dale Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/wan-dale-robinson
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bf77c0-c921-4593-997e-8405355274e9 (scored 100)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 100)
- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0)
- Garrett Podell on Stefon Diggs: An unsigned CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc79861b-dbde-474e-9d55-bf50f7b766d2 (scored 100)
- Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0)
- Bucky Brooks on Stefon Diggs: In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9538b827-fc12-4c2e-8e32-eaa69edc6c2d (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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