# Mike Renner: Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18. **Claimed:** Jan 6, 2026 **Pundit:** Mike Renner — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-renner **Outlet:** Pushing the Pile (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/serve.castfire.com/audio/8174688/8174688_2026-04-12-053628.192.mp3?rssID=6037 33 checkable claims — 18 mock draft picks, 9 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 2 positional finishes, 1 combine measurement and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 39 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 28 of 33 have settled so far, averaging 52.9 out of 100, against 41.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > So because of all that, give me the Rams. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Green Bay Packers to beat Bears** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Pats** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 22.92 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Matt Moore to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Matt Moore, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots to beat Chargers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trevor Goosby to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trevor Goosby, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to beat Steelers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to beat Broncos** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermaine McCrory to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermaine McCrory, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to post probably gonna run a four four at the combine** - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jordyn Tyson to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jordyn Tyson - Verdict: too vague to check - **Houston Texans to beat Jags** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francisco Mauigoa, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Carnell Tate to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: too vague to check ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Matt Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matt-moore - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Trevor Goosby — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trevor-goosby - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Jermaine McCrory — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jermaine-mccrory - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Francisco Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/francisco-mauigoa - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens ## What others said about the same people - Carmen Vitali on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/948bc684-6a05-4cb4-a5ff-72861da00102 (scored 0) - Tracy Sandler on Baltimore Ravens: Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f12600-9587-488a-af00-2e8c11643531 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Kansas City Chiefs: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as his QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and he picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31b15133-9938-492f-a5a8-48d1dd02b911 (scored 35.71) - Derek Brown on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Brown laid out aggressive rest-of-season positional rankings — Mahomes QB8, Kenneth Walker RB3, Kelce up to TE7, Rashee Rice all the way down at WR31 and Worthy at WR42 — called Drake London a WR1 with Penix back, and picked Tampa Bay 21-18 over Minnesota while declaring Zay Flowers will not play in Brazil. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/889acfb2-8238-4174-89cb-a194ff0948ff (scored 40.48) - Bryan DeArdo on Cincinnati Bengals: He picks the Bengals to beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh in a low-scoring, defensive game, arguing Pittsburgh's struggling offense can't break through against Cincinnati's strong defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/105a1dc7-6107-450a-bc8d-a65798ee0257 (scored 50) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71) - Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100) - Kyle Brandt on Cam Ward: Brandt insists Cam Ward will be the No. 1 overall pick as the best player in the draft, and predicts Ashton Jeanty won't fall past pick six or seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf3ad678-a0a0-49c1-a265-69812a3e5048 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-renner