# Nick Wright: Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. **Claimed:** Apr 8, 2025 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/whats-wright-with-nick-wright/whats-wright-predicting-nfl-win-totals-chiefs-record-florida-houston-reaction 10 checkable claims — 9 season win totals and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 10 have settled, averaging 42 out of 100, against 36.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I like the Raiders over six and a half. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Denver Broncos to finish with 9–10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 9–10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Miami Dolphins to finish with 8–9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to finish with 9–10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Jets to finish with 6 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess - **Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens ## What others said about the same people - Bradley Locker on Mazi Smith: Locker lists 10 players on the roster bubble entering 2026, suggesting Tyrone Tracy may not make the Giants' 53, Broderick Jones could be traded or cut by Pittsburgh, Dillon Gabriel may lose the Browns' QB3 job, Evan Neal's Giants tenure may end, and Will Levis will likely be traded or cut by Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/538fc657-f762-4d98-84e1-b03c4bc14469 (scored 100) - Carter Bahns on Jacksonville Jaguars: He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f1b6765-6f6f-4600-95a2-8ca2115edda6 (scored 50) - Joshua Schulman on Kansas City Chiefs: Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/688ed965-da9e-4ced-9e80-10e7c54d5f43 (scored 100) - Colin Cowherd on Houston Texans: Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e43d4655-1b30-4892-a8ee-3cfe6bf29dba (scored 0) - Chris Broussard on Houston Texans: Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a54915e0-49e6-427b-a7a5-4feb5d0f3cbb (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Jacksonville Jaguars: Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/36d4ede8-3066-4102-abbc-cb08e4544c92 (scored 0) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40) - John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 60) - Colin Cowherd on New England Patriots: Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e32a708a-5651-4292-b71b-672f2216a48e (scored 0) - Richard Sherman on Detroit Lions: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fd0cf59d-3729-4865-8641-02792d0b6b24 (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Carolina Panthers: Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bf1a843e-6b29-497e-b58c-b8394d790374 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright