# Rhett Lewis: Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.

**Claimed:** Mar 2, 2025
**Pundit:** Rhett Lewis — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rhett-lewis
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-move-the-sticks-with-daniel-jeremiah-bucky-bro/2025-nfl-combine-recap-qbs-wrs-and-rbs

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 64.9 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think there was somebody who stood up in this event and grabbed the bull by the horns and said, at IMQB three, And to me, that was Louisville's Tyler Shuck

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Tyler Shough to be 3rd quarterback off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Tyler Shough
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 32.63 for a naive guess
- **Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round type of selection” (picks 33–64)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jalen Milroe
  - Verdict: scored 29.73 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough
- Jalen Milroe — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-milroe

## What others said about the same people

- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Ross Jackson gives his final preseason 53-man roster projection for the New Orleans Saints, naming who makes the initial roster at every position group, who starts on injured reserve or the practice squad, and who the five starting offensive linemen and kicker will be. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b43691e9-1673-4236-ba12-7d60ad3b95f5 (scored 100)
- Shannon Sharpe on Jalen Milroe: Sharpe expects Drew Lock to be Seattle's clear No. 2 quarterback, with Jaylen Milroe kept and Mitchell Trubisky released; he also predicts Shedeur Sanders will be named the Browns' starter and Deshaun Watson eventually released, and says Cleveland won't win the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7ad94c71-bd4a-4478-923a-0f6df1695352 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener argues the Seahawks should trade backup quarterback Drew Lock — plausibly to the Lions for a Day 3 pick — and keep only two quarterbacks on the 53-man roster, with Jalen Milroe retained after his training-camp ascent. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/19b6a082-caf9-405d-8ff4-dd6a33a5c16e (scored 100)
- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Ross Jackson projects the New Orleans Saints' offensive 53-man roster: three quarterbacks with Tyler Shough starting and Spencer Rattler as the backup, four running backs including Alvin Kamara, six wide receivers with Jalen Polk making it, three tight ends, ten offensive linemen with a set starting five, and Charlie Smith at kicker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5f4d7215-b47b-478d-8a8e-3199f34273ef (scored 100)
- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63)
- Pat Gustavson on Tyler Shough: Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. His awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/671b9c4f-1f25-4f11-ad26-16a1126ea3b8 (scored 0)

## More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Shook on Olaivavega Ioane: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 35.36)
- Nick Wright on Carnell Tate: Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/77faa345-d736-4a90-8185-b1b92c789e5a (scored 100)
- Todd McShay on K.C. Concepcion: McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd11036a-b55c-47a9-92e8-5b088260ca47 (scored 100)
- Keith Sanchez on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/226ec0b5-6535-45ba-8b77-609e3e51ca6e (scored 70.71)
- Field Yates on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7eaa4c0b-96d6-4cb2-bb55-3307b797fb9b (scored 100)
- Mel Kiper on Carnell Tate: Kiper's post-free-agency mock draft, as relayed on the show, assigns specific prospects to specific picks through the top 20, including Fernando Mendoza at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5 and CJ Allen to the Cowboys at No. 20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/08c37955-b295-45c8-8d32-b0223c0b02b9 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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