# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitzmaurice fades Trey McBride at his ADP, expecting him to remain an elite tight end worthy of a top-25 pick but not to repeat his 2025 production given Arizona's likely lower pass rate and a bigger role for Marvin Harrison Jr.

**Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/early-round-draft-picks-experts-target-avoid-fantasy-football/

> McBride is clearly one of the elite tight ends and is worthy of a top-25 draft pick. Just don’t expect a full repeat of last year.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims


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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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