# Derek Brown: The Fantasy Pros analyst laid out his biggest fantasy offseason moves and then a round-by-round list of players he's high and low on, headlined by breakout calls on Parker Washington, Jordan Mason, DJ Moore, Jaylen Waddle, A.J. Brown and Marshawn Lloyd, plus fades on Justin Jefferson, Rashee Rice and Josh Jacobs. **Claimed:** Sep 1, 2026 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/291fe8ed-f80d-4107-9ee1-b34c015266d0/cbcc1394-601f-4e36-ae2b-b4b80124e430/audio.mp3?in_playlist=bf391792-153e-41b3-9d3d-ae3300346ad8 39 checkable claims — 14 fantasy bust calls, 14 sleeper calls, 7 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 award pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 44 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. Of the 10 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 9. > A.J. Brown is going to end up with the best statistical season that he's ever had in his career. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones - Verdict: not settled yet - **Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks - Verdict: not settled yet - **De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (round nine)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: De'Zhaun Stribling - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (round 10)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenny Gainwell - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Downs - Verdict: not settled yet - **DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round price tag)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Allen - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver 12 price tag)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chris Olave - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Trayvon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (round six)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Trayvon Henderson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (round seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Mason, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard - Verdict: not settled yet - **DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **A.J. Brown to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (a top 20 wide receiver price tag)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tetairoa McMillan - Verdict: not settled yet - **Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Alec Pierce - Verdict: not settled yet - **Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round two)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (round six)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bo Nix to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Bo Nix, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dontayvion Wicks to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dontayvion Wicks, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Mark Andrews - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Jonathon Brooks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jonathon-brooks - De'Zhaun Stribling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/de-zhaun-stribling - Kenny Gainwell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenny-gainwell - Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-downs - DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dj-moore - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-olave - Quinshon Judkins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/quinshon-judkins - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns - Trayvon Henderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trayvon-henderson - Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Jordan Mason — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-mason - Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan - Alec Pierce — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/alec-pierce - Parker Washington — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/parker-washington - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery - Jalen Hurts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-hurts - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chase-brown - Jaylen Waddle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaylen-waddle - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-watson - Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd - Bo Nix — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bo-nix - James Cook — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/james-cook - Dontayvion Wicks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dontayvion-wicks - Mark Andrews — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mark-andrews ## What others said about the same people - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100) - John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100) - Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bf77c0-c921-4593-997e-8405355274e9 (scored 100) - Paul Keren on Teven Jenkins: Keren says Teven Jenkins still projects as Cleveland's Week 1 starting right guard despite a push from KT Leveston, and that Carson Schwesinger and Quincy Williams will be the Browns' lead linebackers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86b36112-724c-4f9c-a4fd-cf74a38be8e4 (scored 0) ## More fantasy bust calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Mike Harmon on Joe Burrow: Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e2e20c82-d482-48e6-90f3-929d0862fc0d (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ashton Jeanty: Warmley predicted Kyle Pitts and Trey McBride both finish as top-five tight ends in the Cardinals-Falcons game, Justin Jefferson bounces back into the top 15 receivers, Quinshen Judkins finishes top 12 against Buffalo, the Ravens beat the Patriots, and the Raiders produce no startable fantasy players against Houston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7c3c1a97-4a04-4870-8118-181815ff8c47 (scored 0) - Patrick Claybon on Aaron Rodgers: Claibon says Aaron Rodgers' deep-passing outburst was a one-week product of Baltimore's defense and won't continue, still endorses starting Jacoby Brissett in a tough Houston matchup, and picks Devon Achane as the top running back and AJ Brown as the top receiver for Week 15. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/13d54729-d582-4201-9440-31f8510c7305 (scored 100) - Marcas Grant on Michael Pittman: Grant calls Christian Watson the Packers' clear No. 1 receiver and RJ Harvey Denver's lead back, while labeling Mike Gesicki's and Tony Pollard's big weeks mirages to avoid; he also wants no part of Colts pass catchers with Philip Rivers signing. For Week 15 he picks Matthew Stafford as the top quarterback and Puka Nacua among the top receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d990340b-36f2-4842-81d8-d08a5f3db65a (scored 0) - Andrew Erickson on Cooper Kupp: Erickson reiterated his prediction that Jordan Mason will lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns, backed the Broncos to blow out the Titans in Week 1, called Garrett Wilson a sell and Jacoby Myers a buy-low, expects little from Cooper Kupp, and made several depth-chart calls (Thornton starting in New England, Myers as Vegas' No. 1 receiver, Croskey-Merritt eventually taking the Commanders' 'A back' role). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3809e587-6fa2-464b-ab98-fd96d353c1bd (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown