# Nate Tice: In a first-round mock draft on NFL Daily, Tice made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and running through Josh Simmons to the Chiefs at 31. He also pegged Grey Zabel as a back-half-of-round-one talent.

**Claimed:** Apr 8, 2025
**Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nate-tice
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/mock-draft-with-nate-tice

17 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 33 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 17 have settled, averaging 77.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Grey Zabel to be picked “an eighteen to thirty type player... back half of this first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Grey Zabel
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Armand Membou to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Armand Membou, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mike Green to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mike Green, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 14.87 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derrick Harmon, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shemar Stewart, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Shavon Revel Jr. to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shavon Revel Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 9.23 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenneth Grant, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Conerly Jr., Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Donovan Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Donovan Ezeiruaku, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 52.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mason Graham to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mason Graham, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Abdul Carter, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Josh Simmons to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Simmons, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Malaki Starks to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malaki Starks, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mykel Williams to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mykel Williams, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colston Loveland, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Grey Zabel — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/grey-zabel
- Armand Membou — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/armand-membou
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Mike Green — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-green
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Derrick Harmon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derrick-harmon
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Shemar Stewart — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shemar-stewart
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Shavon Revel Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shavon-revel-jr
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Kenneth Grant — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-grant
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Josh Conerly Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-conerly-jr
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Donovan Jackson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/donovan-jackson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Donovan Ezeiruaku — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/donovan-ezeiruaku
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Mason Graham — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mason-graham
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Abdul Carter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/abdul-carter
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Josh Simmons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-simmons
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Malaki Starks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/malaki-starks
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Mykel Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mykel-williams
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Colston Loveland — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets

## What others said about the same people

- John Shipley on Jalen McLeod: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Bucky Brooks on Josh Johnson: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 0)
- Jared Koch on Lewis Bond: Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/14048ef2-7210-46fd-825a-b9849c144a9f (scored 100)
- Jason La Canfora on Gerad Lichtenhan: La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6d42cee5-8b2d-4c78-a41b-ed2daab90019 (scored 0)
- Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/20e6ff7b-1de6-4de6-9567-3997edaea6b8 (scored 100)
- Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/684f97b2-1578-404d-9e71-4026eea8db4d (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nate-tice
