# Peter Schrager: Schrager expects the top of the draft to be quarterback-driven, with Cam Ward going first overall and Shedeur Sanders second. He also thinks Sam Darnold returns to Minnesota, Justin Fields starts somewhere (likely staying in Pittsburgh rather than joining the Jets), and the Eagles lose free agents like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat.

**Claimed:** Mar 4, 2025
**Pundit:** Peter Schrager — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-schrager
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/best-of-the-nfl-podcast-network/the-season-with-peter-schrager-emptying-the-combin

8 checkable claims — 5 trade and signing calls, 2 mock draft picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 50.1 out of 100, against 47.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think it's a really good chance that it goes cam Ward one Shador Sanders too.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: scored 0.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Rodgers to move to New York Giants**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Justin Fields
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sam Darnold to move to Minnesota Vikings**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Justin Fields, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Milton Williams to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Milton Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Sweat to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Josh Sweat
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders
- Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Justin Fields — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-fields
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Milton Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/milton-williams
- Josh Sweat — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-sweat

## What others said about the same people

- Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0)
- Nick Shook on Emmanuel McNeil-Warren: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 17.68)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Makai Lemon: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 95.76)
- Steve Mensch on Spencer Fano: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 84.09)
- Jason McIntyre on Aaron Rodgers: McIntyre liked Cowherd's card, flagged the Jets and Chargers as potential upsets/strong teams, said the Chargers could reach the AFC Championship game, and declared Aaron Rodgers will miss the playoffs this year and retire in the offseason. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fc0c43b5-a4a3-4dc1-829b-f07a813854f2 (scored 100)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0)
- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0)
- Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100)
- Diante Lee on A.J. Brown: A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8c102e3-a8d3-4d06-bd90-4b7db78d2fa0 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=peter-schrager
