# Ross Jackson: In a post-free-agency seven-round Saints mock draft, Ross Jackson projects New Orleans taking Ohio State WR Carnell Tate at No. 8, UCF edge Malachi Lawrence at No. 42, Arizona CB Traydon Stukes in round three, Kentucky center Jager Burton at 132, Penn State RB Caitron Allen at 137, Clemson DT Demontae Capehart at 148, Texas A&M OL Armaj Reid Adams at 170, and Washington CB Takario Davis at 189. He also pegs guards Vega Ioane and Emmanuel Pregnon as round one/two picks and Reid Adams and Jeremiah Wright as day-three guys.

**Claimed:** Mar 16, 2026
**Pundit:** Ross Jackson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ross-jackson
**Outlet:** Locked On Saints (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-saints-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/83ac39/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9/episodes/bb4cf9cb-42ff-4f0a-8989-9002ca63b4ab/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9&awEpisodeId=bb4cf9cb-42ff-4f0a-8989-9002ca63b4ab&feed=aKgoC4uX

11 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 37 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Round one, pick eight. Wide receiver... Carnell Tate out of Ohio State

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 170**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ar'maj Reed-Adams, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 4.62 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 42**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malachi Lawrence, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jager Burton to be picked at number 132**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jager Burton, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 40.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kaytron Allen to be picked at number 137**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kaytron Allen, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 11.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **DeMonte Capehart to be picked at number 148**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: DeMonte Capehart, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Tacario Davis to be picked at number 189**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tacario Davis, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0.63 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “round one, round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jeremiah Wright to be picked “day three guys”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiah Wright
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Treydan Stukes to be picked “round three”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Treydan Stukes, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked “round one, round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel Pregnon
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Ar'maj Reed-Adams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ar-maj-reed-adams
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Malachi Lawrence — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/malachi-lawrence
- Jager Burton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jager-burton
- Kaytron Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kaytron-allen
- DeMonte Capehart — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/demonte-capehart
- Tacario Davis — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tacario-davis
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Jeremiah Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiah-wright
- Treydan Stukes — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treydan-stukes
- Emmanuel Pregnon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-pregnon

## What others said about the same people

- David Harrison on Kaytron Allen: Harrison gives his initial 53-man roster projection for the Washington Commanders: three quarterbacks including Ethan Kalyak Manus, three running backs, four tight ends, six receivers (leaving off De'Ami Brown and Jaden Bradley), nine offensive linemen with Matt Goldman at center, and a defense of six linebackers but only four cornerbacks. He also projects Tunstall and Newton going to IR on Monday with De'Ami Brown and Dietrich Wise re-signed, plus a corner-heavy practice squad. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1d5b2565-5531-47ac-bff8-ccb9b23a980a (scored 100)
- Randy Gurzi on Ar'maj Reed-Adams: Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/95db61d4-3514-4d17-aa02-ed56a31ecabf (scored 0)
- Doug Joubert on Will Sherman: Joubert projects the Saints' 53-man roster ahead of the cutdown deadline, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, plus several players he expects to receive PUP/IR designations, and predicting Torricelli Simpkins will later be moved to the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80c9bcdf-68ec-49a5-a1d1-e59f4bee2653 (scored 100)
- Grant Chachere on Barion Brown: Reviewing the Saints' unofficial depth chart, Chachere says Devaughn Vele is the No. 3 receiver, Barion Brown will be the fourth receiver and a lock to make the 53-man roster, and Travis Etienne will out-carry Alvin Kamara as the lead back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a21e4240-e93f-4f19-86ee-7190e37e3cfa (scored 100)
- David Harrison on Kaytron Allen: Harrison projects the Washington Commanders' initial 53-man roster if it had to be set today, naming 26 offensive players, three specialists and 24 defenders, and also assigns depth-chart slots at quarterback, running back, the offensive line, the interior defensive line, and the return/specialist jobs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2e2254ee-daf7-4f82-81d4-2bc73e1b7291 (scored 100)
- Doug Joubert on Kelvin Banks Jr.: Joubert grades the Saints' units after their win at Baltimore and predicts that left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. will be placed on injured reserve, with one of three practice-squad tackles potentially elevated. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6e48166c-9792-4e2b-aae7-fe44b83758e2 (scored 0)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Steve Mensch on Caleb Lomu: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 62.09)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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