# Mike Tannenbaum: Tannenbaum picked Justin Herbert MVP, Herbert also for OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Todd Bowles Coach of the Year. **Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022 **Pundit:** Mike Tannenbaum — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-tannenbaum **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/ 7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. > $30 million a year is the right number for Aaron Donald, who's the most important non-quarterback in the league. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Justin Herbert to win Most Valuable Player** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Justin Herbert to win Offensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aaron Donald, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Todd Bowles to win Coach of the Year** - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Aaron Donald — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-donald - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Aidan Hutchinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aidan-hutchinson - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-olave ## What others said about the same people - Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0) - Nick Shook on Francis Mauigoa: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Danny Parkins on Trey Hendrickson: Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ca8ddcc3-733b-4a44-92b9-b90577e59c9c (scored 0) - Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f (scored 0) - Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71) - Steve Mensch on Caleb Lomu: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 62.09) ## More award picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jourdan Rodrigue on Josh Simmons: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0) - Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0) - Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3667c28e-88b0-4d8e-bebd-6ef088550e4f (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-tannenbaum