# Tom Strachan: Strachan is high on Zay Flowers as a touchdown-regression candidate, ranking him ahead of consensus as a top-30 overall player and WR13, and also touts Tucker Kraft, Makayle Lemon, Josh Downs, Tyler Allgeier and Dylan Sampson as values, while sitting slightly lower than Murphitt on Kyren Williams.

**Claimed:** Jul 4, 2026
**Pundit:** Tom Strachan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-strachan
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-sleepers-with-league-winning-upside-high-ceiling-targets-you-need-to-draft-ep-2076

8 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room on every one.

> He's my twenty eighth player overall compared to the ECR of thirty four, and he's my wife's sue thirteen.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Makai Lemon to outplay his draft cost (ECR of ninety three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (ECR sixty five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (ECR one to thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dylan Sampson to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Dylan Sampson, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR of thirty four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (ECR one thirty three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tyler Allgeier, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zay Flowers to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Dylan Sampson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dylan-sampson
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Zay Flowers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zay-flowers
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Tyler Allgeier — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-allgeier
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals

## What others said about the same people

- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)
- Paul Keren on Teven Jenkins: Keren says Teven Jenkins still projects as Cleveland's Week 1 starting right guard despite a push from KT Leveston, and that Carson Schwesinger and Quincy Williams will be the Browns' lead linebackers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86b36112-724c-4f9c-a4fd-cf74a38be8e4 (scored 0)
- Noah Compton on C.J. Allen: After watching the Colts' eleventh training camp practice, Compton says rookie linebacker CJ Allen is still expected to start the regular-season opener, identifies Alec Pierce as the team's top receiver and Cam Taylor-Britt as the first cornerback behind the starting trio, and declares the kicking job Blake Grupe's to lose. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/98a8bd92-bcd8-4b5a-aad7-96ecd936662b (scored 0)
- Jeff Kerr on Michael Carter: Kerr says several Eagles have raised their stock in camp: Darius Cooper is emerging as the team's WR4, Drew Kendall is the No. 3 interior lineman/top backup at guard and center, Willie Lampkin is in prime position to make the 53-man roster, and Michael Carter is a roster lock who could start at safety in Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/922a9343-f96d-419d-8091-49b64dd471d9 (scored 0)
- Henry McKenna on Carson Beck: McKenna predicts Kyler Murray will win the Vikings' starting QB job over J.J. McCarthy, that Minnesota will make the playoffs if Murray cuts out the hero ball, that both QBs will play in 2026, and wonders whether rookie Carson Beck could unseat Jacoby Brissett as Arizona's Week 1 starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9025c533-03e6-4e1f-8773-b8ef2f1d46ea (scored 0)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Matt Money Smith on Tre Harris: Smith says Ladd McConkie is a legitimate No. 1 receiver who could post a Jaylen Waddle-like season of roughly 1,700 yards and eight touchdowns, and he predicts second-year Chargers receiver Trey Harris will have a big year under Mike McDaniel. He also expects Philip Rivers to become an NFL head coach and thinks the Chargers offense will be good in the coming season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1f779ee4-78d9-4f01-a069-bcd0ef45fc72 (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Javonte Williams: Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9337347d-fde9-46c9-9bb6-26ade467538b (scored 100)
- Ross Jackson on Devaughn Vele: Ross Jackson agreed to the same Saints mock draft board — Jeremiah Love at eight, Akeem Mesador in the second, Keonte Scott at 73, Keelan Rutledge and Ted Hurst in the fourth, Xavien Harris at 148, Aaron Anderson in the fifth and Bryce Boettcher in the sixth — and also called Devon Vellet a 2026 breakout candidate. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4c58f9f-23b8-4857-8505-17c213d3a342 (scored 0)
- Greg Cosell on Omarion Hampton: Cosell expects the Nick Bonito vs. Will Campbell matchup to be pivotal, predicts Caleb Williams' future is bright, expects the Chargers' run game to improve dramatically under Mike McDaniel with a good season from Omarion Hampton, and expects Sean Payton not to hide Stidham. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/26c1330e-ee04-42a9-b29d-d6f0cc6bab6a (scored 0)
- Andrew Erickson on Malik Nabers: Erickson gave his 2026 first-round board, leaning on running backs early with Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, Ja'Marr Chase as his WR1 and Christian McCaffrey slipping to 12. He also touted Malik Nabers as a buying opportunity, projected big touchdown numbers for Burrow and Chase, and called Barkley a buy-low. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/abd0628c-1338-467b-9ac3-d89c922468eb (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Omarion Hampton: Joe Pisapia's 2026 first round is receiver-heavy, starting with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Ja'Marr Chase, insisting Amon-Ra St. Brown belongs in the top five, keeping Justin Jefferson in round one, and dropping Christian McCaffrey to 12. He also sees Omarion Hampton as a value who will be a top-10 pick a year later. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/830a3414-41f0-4e58-9f3b-b1a5f9e10c3c (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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