# Derek Brown: Fantasy analyst Derek Brown laid out his final draft-season rankings and takes: Puka as his No. 3 overall player, Gibbs over Bijan as RB1, Kenneth Walker 13th overall, MarShawn Lloyd as Green Bay's clear lead back, Jared Goff as a QB13 value, plus depth-chart calls on the Chargers tight ends and a Shedeur Sanders start by Week 3.

**Claimed:** Sep 7, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/a425ba31-4316-4647-847e-b0030136e912/ff918e11-da45-48a9-9d16-b4bb0165ff84/audio.mp3?in_playlist=bf391792-153e-41b3-9d3d-ae3300346ad8

24 checkable claims — 8 depth chart calls, 7 positional finishes, 5 sleeper calls, 2 fantasy bust calls and 2 fantasy rankings — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 13 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 5 and below it on 8.

> Puka remains and has been my third overall player.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Bijan Robinson to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **I'm not moving a Kenneth Walker down... right now, he still is my 13th overall player.**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jared Goff to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jared Goff, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jared Goff, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Allgeier to finish top 49 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Tyler Allgeier, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jameson Williams to finish top 30 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jameson Williams, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jahmyr Gibbs to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jahmyr Gibbs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Travis Kelce to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Travis Kelce
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: David Montgomery
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **MarShawn Lloyd to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Charlie Kolar to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Charlie Kolar, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Colston Loveland
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Oronde Gadsden II to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Oronde Gadsden II, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Puka remains and has been my third overall player.**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bhayshul Tuten to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jalen Hurts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: D'Andre Swift
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Lamar Jackson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **MarShawn Lloyd to finish top 26 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Deshaun Watson
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson
- Jared Goff — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jared-goff
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Parker Washington — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/parker-washington
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Tyler Allgeier — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-allgeier
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Jameson Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jameson-williams
- Jahmyr Gibbs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jahmyr-gibbs
- Travis Kelce — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/travis-kelce
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Charlie Kolar — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/charlie-kolar
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders
- Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-watson
- Colston Loveland — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland
- Oronde Gadsden II — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/oronde-gadsden-ii
- Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten
- Jalen Hurts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-hurts
- D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift
- Lamar Jackson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/lamar-jackson
- Deshaun Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/deshaun-watson

## What others said about the same people

- John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)
- Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Daniel Faalele: Dubin grades the Faalele trade, predicting Faalele has a decent chance to be Jacksonville's Week 1 starting right guard in competition with Wyatt Milum, and that Evan Neal's odds of making the Giants' 53-man roster improved while Jon Runyan and Francis Mauigoa hold the Giants' starting guard jobs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aae46267-fc6d-44c1-a96c-7355b3db857b (scored 0)
- John Shipley on Patrick Mekari: Shipley projects second-year cornerback Jabbar Muhammad to make the Jaguars' 53-man roster and describes him as the team's clear No. 5 cornerback, a role that would earn him a game-day jersey. He also identifies Patrick Mekari, Walker Little and Ezra Cleveland as projected Week 1 offensive line starters. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dd093e7d-3a57-4ecb-ae09-af7eadfb15b0 (scored 0)
- Henry McKenna on Carson Beck: McKenna predicts Kyler Murray will win the Vikings' starting QB job over J.J. McCarthy, that Minnesota will make the playoffs if Murray cuts out the hero ball, that both QBs will play in 2026, and wonders whether rookie Carson Beck could unseat Jacoby Brissett as Arizona's Week 1 starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9025c533-03e6-4e1f-8773-b8ef2f1d46ea (scored 0)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0)
- Nathan Jahnke on Jalen Tolbert: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/760054fd-7815-4b86-a9e3-bc9bdb0a730b (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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