# Dane Brugler: The Athletic's draft analyst laid out his expected top of the draft — Cam Ward first, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland, Abdul Carter third to the Giants — while predicting Shedeur Sanders slides outside the top 10 (a late first/early second grade), Jalen Milroe goes in round two, and all five of the class's top quarterbacks come off the board within the first 50-60 picks.

**Claimed:** Apr 10, 2025
**Pundit:** Dane Brugler — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dane-brugler
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd/hour-2-playoff-pressure-predictions

8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “outside the top ten” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Abdul Carter, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Travis Hunter, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jalen Milroe to be picked “round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jalen Milroe
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tyler Shough
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jaxson Dart
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “a late one, early two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Abdul Carter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/abdul-carter
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Travis Hunter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/travis-hunter
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Jalen Milroe — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-milroe
- Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough
- Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart

## What others said about the same people

- Matt Severance on Deshaun Watson: The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/944568ce-7205-409f-8354-a392016fd8bf (scored 100)
- Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d7d7e0a2-61e0-4525-970b-b01a2356f11b (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Deshaun Watson: An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wilson on Deshaun Watson: A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff870e69-9992-4166-aa81-9b49d6f77f55 (scored 100)
- Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80cb396b-8dbf-4e39-bd65-6d25df403db1 (scored 100)
- John Breech on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e520b2b-bf4e-4a82-9743-7cb7bc3ee125 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Nick Shook on Dillon Thieneman: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 56.94)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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