# Nathan Jahnke: An unsigned PFF fantasy preseason recap makes a series of depth-chart and roster-spot calls: Roman Wilson wins the Steelers' third receiver job over Germie Bernard, Robert Tonyan makes Pittsburgh's roster as the third tight end, Kyle Williams and Efton Chism III stick in New England, Mike Washington Jr. is the Raiders' primary backup back, Jalen Nailor stays a Raiders starter, Kaelon Black leads the 49ers' backup running back competition, and Charlie Kolar is the Chargers' top tight end with top-12 fantasy upside.

**Claimed:** Aug 28, 2026
**Pundit:** Nathan Jahnke — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nathan-jahnke
**Outlet:** Pro Football Focus — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pro-football-focus
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-preseason-week-3-thursday-recap-immediate-takeaways/

21 checkable claims — 13 depth chart calls, 7 roster spot calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 21 have settled so far, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 10 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 4 and below it on 6.

> Wilson appears to be the favorite for the Steelers’ third receiver spot entering Week 1.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Carsen Ryan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Carsen Ryan, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Robert Tonyan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Robert Tonyan, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Eli Heidenreich to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Eli Heidenreich, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Kyle Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kyle Williams, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Efton Chism III to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Efton Chism III, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Raheim Sanders to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Raheim Sanders, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kyle Williams to be 5th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kyle Williams, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Charlie Kolar to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Charlie Kolar, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kaelon Black to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kaelon Black, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Oronde Gadsden II to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Oronde Gadsden II, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Njoku to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: David Njoku, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ben Skowronek to be 5th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ben Skowronek, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kaleb Johnson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Robert Tonyan to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Robert Tonyan, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Charlie Kolar to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Charlie Kolar, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Roman Wilson to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Roman Wilson, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Germie Bernard to be 4th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Germie Bernard, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mike Washington to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Mike Washington, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Nailor to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jalen Nailor, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Efton Chism III to be 6th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Efton Chism III, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Max Klare to be 5th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Max Klare, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Carsen Ryan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carsen-ryan
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Robert Tonyan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/robert-tonyan
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Eli Heidenreich — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/eli-heidenreich
- Kyle Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kyle-williams
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Efton Chism III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/efton-chism-iii
- Raheim Sanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/raheim-sanders
- Charlie Kolar — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/charlie-kolar
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Kaelon Black — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kaelon-black
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Oronde Gadsden II — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/oronde-gadsden-ii
- David Njoku — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-njoku
- Ben Skowronek — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ben-skowronek
- Kaleb Johnson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson
- Roman Wilson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/roman-wilson
- Germie Bernard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/germie-bernard
- Mike Washington — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mike-washington
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Jalen Nailor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-nailor
- Max Klare — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/max-klare
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams

## What others said about the same people

- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)
- Paul Keren on Teven Jenkins: Keren says Teven Jenkins still projects as Cleveland's Week 1 starting right guard despite a push from KT Leveston, and that Carson Schwesinger and Quincy Williams will be the Browns' lead linebackers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86b36112-724c-4f9c-a4fd-cf74a38be8e4 (scored 0)
- Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0)
- Mike Tannenbaum on Stefon Diggs: Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7a29c18-face-49c0-b84f-33715b4c6678 (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Stefon Diggs: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0)
- Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nathan-jahnke
