# Robert Smith: Smith picked Josh Allen MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Travon Walker DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Sean McDermott Coach of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022
**Pundit:** Robert Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/robert-smith
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

## The claims

- **Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aaron Donald, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Travon Walker, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Sean McDermott to win Coach of the Year**
  - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Aaron Donald — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-donald
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Travon Walker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/travon-walker
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston

## What others said about the same people

- Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100)
- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Francis Mauigoa: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Mac Jones: Brockman argued the Texans will reach the AFC Championship Game, declared the Chiefs dynasty over, said the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Lambeau Field, that Josh Allen is still the most dangerous QB and the Bills will win a playoff game (with the AFC East runner-up as the 5 seed winning in Pittsburgh or Baltimore), that Carolina will win the NFC South, that Baltimore finishes under .500 with Lamar no longer a top-five QB, that the Colts should trade for Mac Jones, and that Marcus Freeman will be in the NFL next year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c06d1a3a-78d8-4aec-8574-159821b42aab (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlecoff says Anthony Richardson's Colts career is finished and expects him to be traded within ten days for any value, even a fifth-round pick. He backs the Texans to win the AFC South, calls the Ravens, Bills and Chiefs playoff locks with Baltimore and Buffalo winning their divisions, and expects Buffalo to win 14-plus games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc7c7ec4-0fb3-4de8-9016-7b35d7059b4c (scored 0)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on Tristan Wirfs: Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/88928365-78fb-4f7b-84a4-0dd7856ba9cc (scored 0)
- Jourdan Rodrigue on Penei Sewell: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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