# Jake Ciely: Seely fades Malik Nabers (WR13) and Justin Jefferson (WR12) over health and quarterback questions, is lower on DeVonta Smith and Brian Thomas Jr., and is aggressive on Marvin Harrison Jr., Wandale Robinson, Ricky Pearsall, Deebo Samuel and Chimere Dike; he also expects Jake Tonges to be a top-20 tight end.

**Claimed:** Mar 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-wide-receiver-rankings-and-tiers-ep-1966

9 checkable claims — 9 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room on every one.

> So I just say, as of right now, I'm gonna put him at thirteen.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Brian Thomas Jr. to finish top 40 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DeVonta Smith to finish top 26 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to finish top 32 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Wan'Dale Robinson to finish top 33 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Wan'Dale Robinson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jake Tonges to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jake Tonges, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Malik Nabers to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Malik Nabers, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Justin Jefferson to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ricky Pearsall to finish top 31 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Deebo Samuel Sr. to finish top 44 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Deebo Samuel Sr.
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- DeVonta Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/devonta-smith
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Wan'Dale Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/wan-dale-robinson
- Jake Tonges — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jake-tonges
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Malik Nabers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/malik-nabers
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Ricky Pearsall — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ricky-pearsall
- Deebo Samuel Sr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/deebo-samuel-sr

## What others said about the same people

- Fox Sports on J.J. McCarthy: FOX Sports projects Kyle McCord as Miami's backup behind starter Malik Willis, Mitchell Trubisky as Tennessee's primary backup behind starter Cam Ward, and J.J. McCarthy making the Vikings' 53-man roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dcd95051-2c24-4226-be5d-ff36732ce5dc (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8f52d1f8-91ed-459c-99a7-30c2d3fb38e0 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Ameer Abdullah: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100)
- Patricia Traina on Paulson Adebo: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Cole Payton: Kerr ranks the Eagles' 2025 draft picks by cut risk, predicting seventh-rounders Keyshawn James-Newby and Cole Wisniewski land on the practice squad, while Cole Payton, Uar Bernard, Makai Lemon, Eli Stowers and Markel Bell make the 53. He also says Lemon starts Week 1 and Bell is the right tackle of the future. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ae8f39f7-dab8-4908-a53e-e3401a7c8bee (scored 100)

## More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100)
- Ryan Tracy on Bryan Cook: Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bb787c-4f93-4c95-b8c2-02daeeffe823 (scored 0)
- Pat Gustavson on Bijan Robinson: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 75)
- JP Acosta on Bijan Robinson: JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/660e3494-2b0b-415e-beb7-9e3bf3464e30 (scored 75)
- Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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