# Steve Mensch: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. **Claimed:** Feb 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Steve Mensch — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/steve-mensch **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/real-first-round-nfl-mock-draft-ep-1944 14 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 14 have settled, averaging 74 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I want Rvel Reese wi your highline. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chris Johnson, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 47.88 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **T.J. Parker to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Banks to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Banks, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Chris Johnson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-johnson - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - Caleb Banks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-banks - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints ## What others said about the same people - Randy Gurzi on Justin Barron: Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a37588ef-f76e-4f06-a951-a85a563271d5 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0) - Jason La Canfora on Gerad Lichtenhan: La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6d42cee5-8b2d-4c78-a41b-ed2daab90019 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100) - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Rich Eisen on A.J. Brown: Eisen delivered his SoFi-presented power rankings of the 2026 NFL draftees most likely to live up to their billing, counting down from Mekhi Lemmon at No. 10 to Jeremiah Love at No. 1. He also predicted the Eagles will trade A.J. Brown and picked three NFC South teams to go over their win totals. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/44917560-fe2f-453a-a274-edd5059b1c1c (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) - Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=steve-mensch