# Kent Swanson: After the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders, Kent laid out the resulting draft order: Kansas City picking ninth overall (and 40th in round two) in the 2026 draft, with New Orleans eighth, Cincinnati tenth, and the Raiders holding the No. 1 pick.

**Claimed:** Jan 5, 2026
**Pundit:** Kent Swanson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kent-swanson
**Outlet:** KC Sports Network (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/kc-sports-network-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://pdrl.fm/8d7cde/mgln.ai/e/256/pscrb.fm/rss/p/clrtpod.com/m/bluewire.simplecastaudio.com/8bf45406-115f-47da-8dc8-dcc5713f4a83/episodes/0e881d33-b47f-4b58-9550-65a9a956e120/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=8bf45406-115f-47da-8dc8-dcc5713f4a83&awEpisodeId=0e881d33-b47f-4b58-9550-65a9a956e120&feed=BJf5DYgc

5 checkable claims — 5 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 67.4 out of 100, against 55.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Ladies and gentlemen, the Kansas City Chiefs will be picking ninth after that loss to the Las Vegas Raiders.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Cincinnati Bengals to pick at number 10**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 26.11 out of 100, against 35.36 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to pick at number 9**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 32.42 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to pick at number 40**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 22.93 out of 100, against 32.42 for a naive guess
- **New Orleans Saints to pick at number 8**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 95.76 for a naive guess
- **Las Vegas Raiders to pick at number 1**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 80.52 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders

## What others said about the same people

- Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Stefon Diggs: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Trey Hendrickson: Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3d0242f-bda2-45fd-82b3-7782bd29c69f (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Kansas City Chiefs: Prisco is the lone expert cited picking Kansas City, 20-17 over Denver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bea2711b-1066-488c-9180-75b8af7b8ab8 (scored 57.14)
- Mike Florio on Kansas City Chiefs: Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea (scored 57.14)
- John Pluym on Kansas City Chiefs: Pluym's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf (scored 100)

## More team draft slot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jake Riepma on Detroit Lions: Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. He also breaks down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ece8f439-040b-4b4d-bfb3-d443e4129200 (scored 100)
- David Harrison on New York Jets: Harrison proposes and defends a hypothetical trade sending Daron Payne plus a third- and sixth-round pick to the Raiders for Maxx Crosby, plus a follow-up trade of the No. 7 pick to the Jets for picks 16 and 33. He also states Fernando Mendoza is expected to go No. 1 overall to the Raiders, and floats the Jets taking David Bailey at No. 7 if they trade up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/926fe128-ea39-4ffd-8704-90791347ee9e (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on New York Giants: Chris Brockman said Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in MVP voting, named Kyle Shanahan the coach of the year front-runner, and predicted both the Giants and Jets will pick in the top five of next year's draft. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdde2d01-017b-4967-b1e9-ecfac647e306 (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on New York Jets: Rich Eisen reaffirmed his pick of the Lions to win the NFC while insisting the Eagles remain the team to beat, predicted the Colts beat the Cardinals on a last-second field goal, said the Chargers will not miss the playoffs, and expects Jake Browning to keep starting in Cincinnati and JJ McCarthy to return as Minnesota's starter. He also praised Jonathan Taylor as the best running back and OPOY-caliber, called Emeka Abuka the offensive rookie of the year, agreed Kyle Shanahan is the coach of the year front-runner, and said the Jets will pick in the top five. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bdb0846e-88b6-4111-b16c-586fd6fc0435 (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Miami Dolphins: Eisen picked the Bills to finish with the NFL's best record, said the Dolphins look like a top-five draft pick team, chose the Chiefs over the Colts to make the playoffs despite their 0-2 start, and made week-three picks: Bengals to go 3-0, the Jets to win at Tampa, and he leaned Steelers over the Patriots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3445484f-b214-450b-a160-2e021fbdc1e6 (scored 73.84)
- Rich Eisen on Green Bay Packers: Eisen predicts the Cowboys will be picking around No. 32 in next year's draft, i.e. Green Bay's first-rounder will be near the end of the round. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/808a2f14-f5a2-4c84-9ad9-ccce150555bc (scored 42.04)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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