# Rich Hribar: Analyzing historical running back ADP trends, Hribar names which 2026 backs best fit the profiles of dead-zone picks who beat their draft cost (Jeremiyah Love, Cam Skattebo, TreVeyon Henderson, plus veterans Breece Hall and D'Andre Swift), which most resemble historic dead-zone traps (Travis Etienne, Javonte Williams, David Montgomery), which later-round team RB1s are unlikely to pay off, and a list of bench 'darts' he prefers over popular handcuffs like Isiah Pacheco, Brian Robinson and Tank Bigsby. **Claimed:** Aug 4, 2026 **Pundit:** Rich Hribar — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-hribar **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/running-back-adp/ 10 checkable claims — 5 fantasy bust calls and 5 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. > The backs who closest resemble historic dead zone traps are Travis Etienne, Javonte Williams , and David Montgomery . *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Cam Skattebo to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Cam Skattebo - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rachaad White to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rachaad White - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Jaylen Warren - Verdict: not settled yet - **D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: D'Andre Swift - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jeremiyah Love to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jeremiyah Love - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard - Verdict: not settled yet - **TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tony Pollard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tony Pollard - Verdict: not settled yet - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones - Verdict: not settled yet - **Breece Hall to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Breece Hall - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Cam Skattebo — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-skattebo - Rachaad White — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rachaad-white - Jaylen Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaylen-warren - D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/breece-hall ## What others said about the same people - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Breece Hall: Rosenthal calls the Chiefs the No. 1 favorite and says they are going to the Super Bowl. He also expects several players to be moved before the trade deadline, most confidently David Njoku, and views Riq Woolen and Breece Hall as likely trade pieces. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5efb7598-25cf-4279-b377-dc24dd59894e (scored 0) - Nick Shook on Breece Hall: Shook names Breece Hall, Jakobi Meyers and David Njoku as trade candidates, suggesting Hall could land with the Chargers and that the Raiders will move Meyers as sellers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef6a34cf-2058-4df8-b11a-0ac4a67b074e (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Rachaad White: Hughes projects Washington's initial 53-man roster ahead of the final preseason game, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, and slots Athan Kaliakmanis as the No. 3 quarterback behind Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4ec7adba-dd12-4caf-9bb1-f1a343cee65a (scored 100) - Ethan Hurwitz on TreVeyon Henderson: Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a6794a5b-800b-4a37-8d2c-40bd94238106 (scored 100) - Zach Roberts on Chuba Hubbard: Roberts projects the Carolina Panthers' 53-man roster following the Hall of Fame Game, naming every player he expects to make the team at each position, and pegs AJ Dillon as the fourth running back on the depth chart. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/eef72be3-9114-401b-a6e8-2ffc335cc7fb (scored 100) ## More fantasy bust calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0) - Derek Brown on Zay Flowers: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 0) - Chris Welsh on Austin Ekeler: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Rashee Rice: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Tyreek Hill: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Derek Brown on Xavier Worthy: Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as his ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9cc5c06e-e0c5-45bd-8b93-fa089f8673a8 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=rich-hribar