# Nathan Jahnke: An unsigned PFF fantasy piece names Ashton Jeanty, Kenneth Walker III and Omarion Hampton as high-upside running backs outside the elite tier who could finish as fantasy's overall RB1 in 2026, while flagging Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson as the favorites for that finish. It also tempers Jeanty's outlook due to expected goal-line competition and gives Walker top-five upside in Kansas City.

**Claimed:** Jul 31, 2026
**Pundit:** Nathan Jahnke — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nathan-jahnke
**Outlet:** Pro Football Focus — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pro-football-focus
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-running-backs-who-could-finish-no-1-overall-2026/

8 checkable claims — 4 positional finishes, 3 sleeper calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson enter 2026 as the favorites to finish as fantasy football's overall RB1.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ashton Jeanty to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kenneth Walker III to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kenneth Walker III, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jahmyr Gibbs to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jahmyr Gibbs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Omarion Hampton to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty
- Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Jahmyr Gibbs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jahmyr-gibbs
- Omarion Hampton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/omarion-hampton
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson

## What others said about the same people

- Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Stefon Diggs: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Kansas City Chiefs: Prisco is the lone expert cited picking Kansas City, 20-17 over Denver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bea2711b-1066-488c-9180-75b8af7b8ab8 (scored 57.14)
- Mike Florio on Kansas City Chiefs: Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea (scored 57.14)
- John Pluym on Kansas City Chiefs: Pluym's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf (scored 100)
- Matt Verderame on Kansas City Chiefs: Verderame's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4f51f97-310d-4665-a47e-fdab93ff1fd1 (scored 100)

## More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100)
- Pat Gustavson on Josh Allen: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 16.67)
- Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100)
- Chad Ochocinco Johnson on Christian Gonzalez: Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c6469c58-b508-48d9-b72f-fe6e0d7d4da5 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Puka Nacua: Eisen defended his preseason call of the Packers reaching the Super Bowl, said the Chiefs will win the AFC West, called the Ravens the favorites in the AFC North, said the Colts are a playoff team, expected Denver to handle Cincinnati and the Giants to beat the winless Saints, and endorsed Puka Nacua as the league's best receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e0759bb3-fd2c-400d-8ee9-f77e5c5fe3e6 (scored 91.67)
- Chris Brockman on Puka Nacua: Brockman claimed the AFC North would send only the Steelers to the playoffs, that the Chiefs will win the AFC West, that Puka Nacua is the NFL's best wide receiver, and that the Jaguars are a top-eight team; he also had a preseason prophecy of the Ravens reaching the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/224a89ec-12c3-4755-96d7-07ff3fcd3b25 (scored 91.67)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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