# Derek Brown: Derek Brown laid out a round-by-round target list, projecting Ashton Jeanty as a top-three back and Raiders bellcow, Drake London as a possible overall WR1, and Tetairoa McMillan (his must-have player) as a ten-plus touchdown scorer, with late-round upside picks like Dak Prescott and JJ McCarthy at quarterback. **Claimed:** Aug 10, 2025 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/top-fantasy-football-draft-picks-targets-for-every-round-ep-1642 25 checkable claims — 16 sleeper calls, 4 positional finishes, 3 player season numbers and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 33 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 24 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 50.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > London could be the wide receiver one overall this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (low end QB one price tag some spots high end QB two)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (round seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Calvin Ridley, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **J.J. McCarthy to outplay his draft cost (round eleven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (round ten)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Higgins, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trey McBride to outplay his draft cost (third round)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jakobi Meyers to outplay his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jakobi Meyers, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brashard Smith, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Drake London to outplay his draft cost (round two)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tre Harris to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tre Harris, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (the beginning of the second)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (eleventh overall)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round at RB two price tags)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Romeo Doubs to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Romeo Doubs, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (round six)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tetairoa McMillan, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tetairoa McMillan to record 10 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tetairoa McMillan, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess - **Ashton Jeanty to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Ashton Jeanty to record 80 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 37.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jalen Hurts to record 10 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 88.54 for a naive guess - **Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 8.33 for a naive guess - **J.J. McCarthy to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jayden Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jayden Higgins, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Dak Prescott to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jarquez Hunter to outplay his draft cost (Round fifteen)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jarquez Hunter, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Dak Prescott — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dak-prescott - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Calvin Ridley — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/calvin-ridley - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans - J.J. McCarthy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/j-j-mccarthy - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Jayden Higgins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jayden-higgins - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Trey McBride — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trey-mcbride - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Jakobi Meyers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jakobi-meyers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Brashard Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brashard-smith - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Drake London — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/drake-london - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Tre Harris — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tre-harris - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - RJ Harvey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rj-harvey - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - De'Von Achane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/de-von-achane - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Romeo Doubs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/romeo-doubs - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Jalen Hurts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-hurts - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Jarquez Hunter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jarquez-hunter - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams ## What others said about the same people - Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0) - Randy Gurzi on Justin Barron: Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a37588ef-f76e-4f06-a951-a85a563271d5 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0) - Jared Koch on Lewis Bond: Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/14048ef2-7210-46fd-825a-b9849c144a9f (scored 100) - Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/20e6ff7b-1de6-4de6-9567-3997edaea6b8 (scored 100) - Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/684f97b2-1578-404d-9e71-4026eea8db4d (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Tyler Warren: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100) - Jake Ciely on Braelon Allen: Counting down his top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b5a40bc-e349-48a1-ad37-18ee448ebe75 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown