# Marcus Mosher: Mosher ranks the top nine quarterbacks expected to hit free agency in March 2024, with Kirk Cousins first and Baker Mayfield second, and forecasts where most of them will land — Mayfield back in Tampa Bay, Minshew back in Indianapolis, Darnold back in San Francisco as a backup, Winston staying in New Orleans as a backup and Huntley remaining a backup with Baltimore. **Claimed:** Jan 19, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-free-agency-ranking-top-9-qbs-on-this-years-market/ 11 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls, 5 trade and signing calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 6 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 95 out of 100, against 86.1 for a naive guess at the same calls. > With all the success Mayfield is having in Tampa Bay, it would be a major upset if he didn't land back with the Buccaneers in 2024. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tyler Huntley to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Here are the top nine quarterbacks that are expected to test free agency in March: Ranking Top Free Agent QBs 1. Kirk Cousins ... 9. Tyrod Taylor** - Kind: Top Player Lists - Verdict: scored 78.33 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jacoby Brissett to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jacoby Brissett - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam Darnold, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Jameis Winston to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tyrod Taylor to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Baker Mayfield to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jameis Winston to move to New Orleans Saints** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: not settled yet - **Gardner Minshew to move to Indianapolis Colts** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Gardner Minshew, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tyler Huntley to move to Baltimore Ravens** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Sam Darnold to move to San Francisco 49ers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Tyler Huntley — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-huntley - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Jacoby Brissett — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jacoby-brissett - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Tyrod Taylor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyrod-taylor - Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Gardner Minshew — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/gardner-minshew - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts ## What others said about the same people - Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100) - Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0) - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) - Mike Tannenbaum on Stefon Diggs: Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7a29c18-face-49c0-b84f-33715b4c6678 (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Trey Hendrickson: Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ca8ddcc3-733b-4a44-92b9-b90577e59c9c (scored 0) - Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f (scored 0) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tyler Sullivan on Deshaun Watson: An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 (scored 100) - Ryan Wilson on Deshaun Watson: A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff870e69-9992-4166-aa81-9b49d6f77f55 (scored 100) - Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80cb396b-8dbf-4e39-bd65-6d25df403db1 (scored 100) - John Breech on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e520b2b-bf4e-4a82-9743-7cb7bc3ee125 (scored 100) - Mark Chichester on Deshaun Watson: Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef347873-c28b-4a47-bb04-2488937cd3cf (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1b6d3216-38ff-4922-9e0a-807497573121 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher