# Matt Dery: Derry predicted a Lions win over the Saints by a 24-20 score, with the Saints covering the 7.5-point spread.

**Claimed:** Sep 10, 2026
**Pundit:** Matt Dery — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-dery
**Outlet:** Locked On Saints (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-saints-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/83ac39/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9/episodes/998c4c39-3248-4895-9951-8e087fc1a6ed/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9&awEpisodeId=998c4c39-3248-4895-9951-8e087fc1a6ed&feed=aKgoC4uX

2 checkable claims — 1 roster spot call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 46.4 out of 100, against 98.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I have the Saints losing this game, and and the the Lions winning.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Detroit Lions 24 — Saints 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 96.35 for a naive guess
- **Tom Kennedy to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tom Kennedy, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Tom Kennedy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tom-kennedy

## What others said about the same people

- Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Detroit Lions: Prisco predicts the Lions blow out the Saints in Detroit and that the Chargers rout the Cardinals behind a new-look offense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2bb82ce8-249f-4f77-b543-f84d64882973 (scored 100)
- Kirk Herbstreit on Detroit Lions: Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5bc3755c-9b84-484f-b8f2-b18d51a12261 (scored 100)
- Ross Jackson on Detroit Lions: Jackson predicted the Lions beat the Saints 27-20 in Week 1, and separately said he expects New Orleans to start 0-2 while still being a playoff-caliber team. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f1d3fc1-2622-4dcb-b63f-f487b45bd1e6 (scored 85.71)
- Mitchell Eisenstein on Detroit Lions: Mitchell picked the Lions to beat the Saints at home, 34-24. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/35222c39-16ed-4f7d-90ee-03fb1d1441bb (scored 78.57)
- Mike Florio on Detroit Lions: Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea (scored 78.57)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: Dubin picks Denver to win narrowly in Kansas City, 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4339e96-6ced-44c2-88e9-b490d027df7b (scored 2.38)
- Pete Prisco on Kansas City Chiefs: Prisco is the lone expert cited picking Kansas City, 20-17 over Denver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bea2711b-1066-488c-9180-75b8af7b8ab8 (scored 57.14)
- Tyler Sullivan on Denver Broncos: Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8636e57-b6d8-471a-a98a-75871c7ee5bf (scored 9.52)
- Jordan Dajani on Denver Broncos: Dajani picks the Broncos over the Chiefs, 17-14. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/12e23aa9-d2ca-4db3-bfb0-25c09e63b1eb (scored 7.14)
- John Breech on Denver Broncos: In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31f3511a-a211-46e0-a6dd-d2cfb70ee207 (scored 4.76)
- Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: The unbylined CBS Sports preview picks Denver to win at Arrowhead in Week 1, 21-20, and expects Kenneth Walker III to be Kansas City's lead back while Jaylen Waddle serves as Bo Nix's top receiving target in Denver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdfdacff-d438-489d-bad2-1d9587b82609 (scored 2.38)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=matt-dery
