# Richard Sherman: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. **Claimed:** Jan 25, 2025 **Pundit:** Richard Sherman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/richard-sherman **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-richard-sherman-podcast/richard-sherman-podcast-nfl-championship-round-pre 11 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls, 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 11 have settled, averaging 59.1 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Detroit Lions to finish with 15–16 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to New York Jets** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Charvarius Ward to move to San Francisco 49ers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Charvarius Ward, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to New York Giants** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Charvarius Ward — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/charvarius-ward - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Saquon Barkley — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/saquon-barkley - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings ## What others said about the same people - Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0) - Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0) - Garrett Podell on Stefon Diggs: A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc79861b-dbde-474e-9d55-bf50f7b766d2 (scored 100) - Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0) - Bucky Brooks on Stefon Diggs: In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9538b827-fc12-4c2e-8e32-eaa69edc6c2d (scored 100) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100) - Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Diante Lee on A.J. Brown: A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8c102e3-a8d3-4d06-bd90-4b7db78d2fa0 (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=richard-sherman